National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the market's official observation station, project a high of 55-57°F on April 29 under mostly sunny skies with light northwesterly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 56°F or higher. This aligns with NOAA Global Forecast System and ECMWF ensemble model agreement on persistent upper-level ridging over the Midwest, following a recent warm spell with prior highs in the 60s—still below the April 29 climatological normal of 64°F—and bolsters confidence amid morning observations already near 57°F. Realistic challenges include low-level moisture from Lake Michigan fostering unexpected cloud cover or a subtle frontal shift capping peaks at 54-55°F, with hourly NWS updates and afternoon model runs providing final clarity before evening resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chicago on April 29?
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$91,051 Vol.
$91,051 Vol.
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
Yes
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$91,051 Vol.
$91,051 Vol.
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 27, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the market's official observation station, project a high of 55-57°F on April 29 under mostly sunny skies with light northwesterly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 56°F or higher. This aligns with NOAA Global Forecast System and ECMWF ensemble model agreement on persistent upper-level ridging over the Midwest, following a recent warm spell with prior highs in the 60s—still below the April 29 climatological normal of 64°F—and bolsters confidence amid morning observations already near 57°F. Realistic challenges include low-level moisture from Lake Michigan fostering unexpected cloud cover or a subtle frontal shift capping peaks at 54-55°F, with hourly NWS updates and afternoon model runs providing final clarity before evening resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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