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icon for Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 10 de junho?

Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 10 de junho?

icon for Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 10 de junho?

Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 10 de junho?

Ended: jun 10

jul 27

jul 28

Ended: jun 10

jul 27

jul 28

28°C 100.0%

24°C ou menos <1%

25°C <1%

26°C <1%

Polymarket

$344,383 Vol.

28°C 100.0%

24°C ou menos <1%

25°C <1%

26°C <1%

Polymarket

$344,383 Vol.

24°C ou menos

$2,459 Vol.

Não

25°C

$4,340 Vol.

Não

26°C

$14,543 Vol.

Não

27°C

$39,413 Vol.

Não

28°C

$79,510 Vol.

Sim

29°C

$42,174 Vol.

Não

30°C

$52,908 Vol.

Não

31°C

$46,022 Vol.

Não

32°C

$40,646 Vol.

Não

33°C

$14,857 Vol.

Não

34°C ou mais

$7,512 Vol.

Não

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a maximum air temperature of 28°C on June 10, 2026, recorded amid widespread cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and northeasterly winds that limited daytime heating. These conditions aligned with model guidance showing suppressed convection and reduced solar insolation, keeping values well below the June climatological average near 31°C. The 100% market-implied probability for 28°C reflects this verified observational data rather than forecasts. Unlikely challenges include post-hoc data revisions at secondary stations or reclassification of the daily maximum, though such adjustments are rare given the Observatory’s standardized protocols and real-time quality controls.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$344,383
Data de Término
10 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a maximum air temperature of 28°C on June 10, 2026, recorded amid widespread cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and northeasterly winds that limited daytime heating. These conditions aligned with model guidance showing suppressed convection and reduced solar insolation, keeping values well below the June climatological average near 31°C. The 100% market-implied probability for 28°C reflects this verified observational data rather than forecasts. Unlikely challenges include post-hoc data revisions at secondary stations or reclassification of the daily maximum, though such adjustments are rare given the Observatory’s standardized protocols and real-time quality controls.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$344,383
Data de Término
10 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 10 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "28°C" at 100%, followed by "24°C ou menos" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 10 de junho?" has generated $344.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 10 de junho?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 10 de junho?" is "28°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "24°C ou menos" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 10 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.