Recent official forecasts and model consensus for Jinan point to a daily maximum near 28–29 °C on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology and the absence of significant cold-air advection. This places the outcome well above the 26 °C threshold that dominates market pricing at 97.5 % implied probability. Supporting evidence includes persistent high-pressure influence, minimal precipitation expected, and continuity from late-August observations near 30 °C. A realistic downside scenario would require an unusually rapid frontal passage or model error that lowers the maximum by several degrees, though current guidance shows low probability of such a shift before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Jinan em 1º de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Jinan em 1º de setembro?
26°C or higher 98%
25°C 3%
24°C 1.1%
22°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
1 set 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
98%
26°C or higher 98%
25°C 3%
24°C 1.1%
22°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
1 set 2026
16°C or below
$410 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$430 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$410 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$430 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$330 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$20 Vol.
1%
22°C
$5 Vol.
1%
23°C
$2 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1 Vol.
1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
3%
26°C or higher
$290 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model consensus for Jinan point to a daily maximum near 28–29 °C on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology and the absence of significant cold-air advection. This places the outcome well above the 26 °C threshold that dominates market pricing at 97.5 % implied probability. Supporting evidence includes persistent high-pressure influence, minimal precipitation expected, and continuity from late-August observations near 30 °C. A realistic downside scenario would require an unusually rapid frontal passage or model error that lowers the maximum by several degrees, though current guidance shows low probability of such a shift before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$2,333Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model consensus for Jinan point to a daily maximum near 28–29 °C on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology and the absence of significant cold-air advection. This places the outcome well above the 26 °C threshold that dominates market pricing at 97.5 % implied probability. Supporting evidence includes persistent high-pressure influence, minimal precipitation expected, and continuity from late-August observations near 30 °C. A realistic downside scenario would require an unusually rapid frontal passage or model error that lowers the maximum by several degrees, though current guidance shows low probability of such a shift before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,333Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and model consensus for Jinan point to a daily maximum near 28–29 °C on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology and the absence of significant cold-air advection. This places the outcome well above the 26 °C threshold that dominates market pricing at 97.5 % implied probability. Supporting evidence includes persistent high-pressure influence, minimal precipitation expected, and continuity from late-August observations near 30 °C. A realistic downside scenario would require an unusually rapid frontal passage or model error that lowers the maximum by several degrees, though current guidance shows low probability of such a shift before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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