Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate clear to partly cloudy skies over Jinan on September 22, supporting maximum temperatures of 30–32°C driven by southerly flow and stable high-pressure conditions typical for late September in Shandong. This consensus aligns with the market's 93.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher by showing strong model agreement on warm advection without significant cooling influences. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, yet current observations and runs project well above that threshold. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unexpected convective development could lower readings, though such changes appear unlikely within the short forecast window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Jinan em 22 de setembro?
26°C ou mais 95%
16°C ou menos 4%
17°C 4%
18°C 4%
16°C ou menos
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C ou mais
95%
26°C ou mais 95%
16°C ou menos 4%
17°C 4%
18°C 4%
16°C ou menos
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C ou mais
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate clear to partly cloudy skies over Jinan on September 22, supporting maximum temperatures of 30–32°C driven by southerly flow and stable high-pressure conditions typical for late September in Shandong. This consensus aligns with the market's 93.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher by showing strong model agreement on warm advection without significant cooling influences. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, yet current observations and runs project well above that threshold. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unexpected convective development could lower readings, though such changes appear unlikely within the short forecast window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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