Official observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (station DNMM/LOS) records the highest temperature in Lagos on April 25, 2026, at 32°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome on Polymarket. This aligns with Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) pre-event forecasts projecting daytime highs around 32°C amid typical April conditions—warm, humid maritime air with partial cloud cover limiting extremes—and historical April averages of 31–33°C. Weather Underground historical summaries confirm the peak via METAR reports, with no notable heatwave signals. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from station discrepancies or NiMet audits, though official aggregation rarely shifts post-publication. Market awaits final resolution per platform criteria.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Lagos on April 25?
32°C 100%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$70,764 Vol.
$70,764 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$70,764 Vol.
$70,764 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Official observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (station DNMM/LOS) records the highest temperature in Lagos on April 25, 2026, at 32°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome on Polymarket. This aligns with Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) pre-event forecasts projecting daytime highs around 32°C amid typical April conditions—warm, humid maritime air with partial cloud cover limiting extremes—and historical April averages of 31–33°C. Weather Underground historical summaries confirm the peak via METAR reports, with no notable heatwave signals. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from station discrepancies or NiMet audits, though official aggregation rarely shifts post-publication. Market awaits final resolution per platform criteria.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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