Marine layer strength and onshore flow remain the dominant drivers for Los Angeles maximum temperatures on July 11, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a moderate inversion that typically caps coastal and downtown readings in the mid-70s. Recent model consensus favors highs near 75–77°F at key reporting stations, aligning with the market’s near-even split between the 74–75°F (30.5%) and 76–77°F (32.5%) brackets. Subtle variations in low-level moisture, wind direction, and marine layer depth introduce the primary uncertainty, as a slightly stronger or more persistent layer could suppress readings by 1–2°F while a modest weakening would allow marginal warming. Historical early-July climatology for the region shows similar marine-influenced conditions producing daily maxima clustered around 74–78°F absent strong offshore flow or ridging. Updated NWS morning forecasts and afternoon observations will provide the final resolution inputs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Los Angeles em 11 de julho?
74-75°F 100.0%
69°F ou menos <1%
21-22°C <1%
72-73°F <1%
$97,742 Vol.
$97,742 Vol.
69°F ou menos
Não
21-22°C
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Sim
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Não
30-31°C
Não
88°F ou mais
Não
74-75°F 100.0%
69°F ou menos <1%
21-22°C <1%
72-73°F <1%
$97,742 Vol.
$97,742 Vol.
69°F ou menos
Não
21-22°C
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Sim
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Não
30-31°C
Não
88°F ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Marine layer strength and onshore flow remain the dominant drivers for Los Angeles maximum temperatures on July 11, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a moderate inversion that typically caps coastal and downtown readings in the mid-70s. Recent model consensus favors highs near 75–77°F at key reporting stations, aligning with the market’s near-even split between the 74–75°F (30.5%) and 76–77°F (32.5%) brackets. Subtle variations in low-level moisture, wind direction, and marine layer depth introduce the primary uncertainty, as a slightly stronger or more persistent layer could suppress readings by 1–2°F while a modest weakening would allow marginal warming. Historical early-July climatology for the region shows similar marine-influenced conditions producing daily maxima clustered around 74–78°F absent strong offshore flow or ridging. Updated NWS morning forecasts and afternoon observations will provide the final resolution inputs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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