Persistent southwest monsoon rains and widespread cloud cover over Manila are the main drivers keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 26°C and 33°C. Official PAGASA guidance for September 10 projects daytime highs of 25–31°C amid moderate to occasionally heavy showers and southwesterly winds, consistent with seasonal habagat patterns that reduce insolation and cap afternoon peaks. Model consensus shows limited diurnal warming potential under overcast skies, while the absence of a direct tropical cyclone influence adds modest uncertainty to exact maxima. Fresh forecast updates from PAGASA and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely refine the narrow temperature band traders are pricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila no dia 10 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Manila no dia 10 de setembro?
31°C 33%
29°C 21%
30°C 21%
32°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
10 set 2026
24°C ou menos
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
15%
28°C
14%
29°C
21%
30°C
21%
31°C
33%
32°C
19%
33°C
17%
34°C ou mais
2%
31°C 33%
29°C 21%
30°C 21%
32°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
10 set 2026
24°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
7%
27°C
$0 Vol.
15%
28°C
$0 Vol.
14%
29°C
$0 Vol.
21%
30°C
$0 Vol.
21%
31°C
$0 Vol.
33%
32°C
$0 Vol.
19%
33°C
$0 Vol.
17%
34°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon rains and widespread cloud cover over Manila are the main drivers keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 26°C and 33°C. Official PAGASA guidance for September 10 projects daytime highs of 25–31°C amid moderate to occasionally heavy showers and southwesterly winds, consistent with seasonal habagat patterns that reduce insolation and cap afternoon peaks. Model consensus shows limited diurnal warming potential under overcast skies, while the absence of a direct tropical cyclone influence adds modest uncertainty to exact maxima. Fresh forecast updates from PAGASA and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely refine the narrow temperature band traders are pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon rains and widespread cloud cover over Manila are the main drivers keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 26°C and 33°C. Official PAGASA guidance for September 10 projects daytime highs of 25–31°C amid moderate to occasionally heavy showers and southwesterly winds, consistent with seasonal habagat patterns that reduce insolation and cap afternoon peaks. Model consensus shows limited diurnal warming potential under overcast skies, while the absence of a direct tropical cyclone influence adds modest uncertainty to exact maxima. Fresh forecast updates from PAGASA and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely refine the narrow temperature band traders are pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon rains and widespread cloud cover over Manila are the main drivers keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 26°C and 33°C. Official PAGASA guidance for September 10 projects daytime highs of 25–31°C amid moderate to occasionally heavy showers and southwesterly winds, consistent with seasonal habagat patterns that reduce insolation and cap afternoon peaks. Model consensus shows limited diurnal warming potential under overcast skies, while the absence of a direct tropical cyclone influence adds modest uncertainty to exact maxima. Fresh forecast updates from PAGASA and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely refine the narrow temperature band traders are pricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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