Official observations from the Malpensa International Airport station—the authoritative resolution source for this market—recorded a highest temperature of 21°C on May 1, 2026, driving the 100% trader consensus on that outcome. This aligns with verified hourly METAR data showing daytime peaks under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, light southerly winds aiding mild heating, and subsidence suppressing further intensification amid typical early May climatology for northern Italy (historical Milan highs average 20–22°C). Sunny conditions prevailed with no convective activity, matching pre-event model consensus from ECMWF and Italian meteorological services forecasting capped highs around 21°C. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from quality control by ARPA Lombardia or Aeronautica Militare, though such adjustments are rare for established airport readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on May 1?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$54,758 Vol.
$54,758 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$54,758 Vol.
$54,758 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Official observations from the Malpensa International Airport station—the authoritative resolution source for this market—recorded a highest temperature of 21°C on May 1, 2026, driving the 100% trader consensus on that outcome. This aligns with verified hourly METAR data showing daytime peaks under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, light southerly winds aiding mild heating, and subsidence suppressing further intensification amid typical early May climatology for northern Italy (historical Milan highs average 20–22°C). Sunny conditions prevailed with no convective activity, matching pre-event model consensus from ECMWF and Italian meteorological services forecasting capped highs around 21°C. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from quality control by ARPA Lombardia or Aeronautica Militare, though such adjustments are rare for established airport readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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