Recent forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF-based models indicates a high near 23°C for Milan on September 23, driven by stable high pressure, easterly flow, and seasonal cooling that caps daytime maxima after warmer conditions earlier in the week. Partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk and light winds support this moderate outcome, consistent with climatological September averages around 24–26°C but tempered by the current synoptic pattern. Trader positioning, with 23°C at 46.5% and 24°C at 31% implied probability, reflects tight model agreement while acknowledging minor ensemble spread in peak timing and local effects. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine any last adjustments from evolving pressure gradients.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 23 de setembro?
23°C 49%
24°C 31%
21°C 30%
26°C 19%
18°C ou menos
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
30%
22°C
16%
23°C
49%
24°C
31%
25°C
9%
26°C
19%
27°C
3%
28°C ou mais
3%
23°C 49%
24°C 31%
21°C 30%
26°C 19%
18°C ou menos
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
30%
22°C
16%
23°C
49%
24°C
31%
25°C
9%
26°C
19%
27°C
3%
28°C ou mais
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF-based models indicates a high near 23°C for Milan on September 23, driven by stable high pressure, easterly flow, and seasonal cooling that caps daytime maxima after warmer conditions earlier in the week. Partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk and light winds support this moderate outcome, consistent with climatological September averages around 24–26°C but tempered by the current synoptic pattern. Trader positioning, with 23°C at 46.5% and 24°C at 31% implied probability, reflects tight model agreement while acknowledging minor ensemble spread in peak timing and local effects. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine any last adjustments from evolving pressure gradients.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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