Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 20°C (30.5%) and 21°C (28.5%) as Munich's highest temperature at the airport station (EDDM) on April 18, reflecting ECMWF and GFS model ensembles clustering in the 19–21°C range amid a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly flow and above-average insolation for mid-spring. Recent 12Z runs on April 17 show minimal spread, boosted by clear skies enhancing boundary-layer heating, though 19°C trails at 18.5% due to potential afternoon cloud incursions reducing peak solar input. Differentiating factors include exact timing of maximum temperatures (typically 14–16 UTC), minor model divergences on low-level mixing, and station-specific microclimate effects. DWD updates and real-time observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 18 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 18 de abril?
20°C 31%
21°C 29%
19°C 21%
22°C 9%
NOVO
$17,848 Vol.
NOVO
$17,848 Vol.
18 abr 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
21%
20°C
31%
21°C
29%
22°C
9%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
1%
20°C 31%
21°C 29%
19°C 21%
22°C 9%
NOVO
$17,848 Vol.
NOVO
$17,848 Vol.
18 abr 2026
14°C or below
$1,542 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$5,298 Vol.
1%
16°C
$2,124 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,379 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,715 Vol.
6%
19°C
$656 Vol.
21%
20°C
$619 Vol.
31%
21°C
$618 Vol.
29%
22°C
$1,863 Vol.
9%
23°C
$1,297 Vol.
3%
24°C or higher
$791 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 20°C (30.5%) and 21°C (28.5%) as Munich's highest temperature at the airport station (EDDM) on April 18, reflecting ECMWF and GFS model ensembles clustering in the 19–21°C range amid a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly flow and above-average insolation for mid-spring. Recent 12Z runs on April 17 show minimal spread, boosted by clear skies enhancing boundary-layer heating, though 19°C trails at 18.5% due to potential afternoon cloud incursions reducing peak solar input. Differentiating factors include exact timing of maximum temperatures (typically 14–16 UTC), minor model divergences on low-level mixing, and station-specific microclimate effects. DWD updates and real-time observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$17,848Data de Término
18 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 20°C (30.5%) and 21°C (28.5%) as Munich's highest temperature at the airport station (EDDM) on April 18, reflecting ECMWF and GFS model ensembles clustering in the 19–21°C range amid a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly flow and above-average insolation for mid-spring. Recent 12Z runs on April 17 show minimal spread, boosted by clear skies enhancing boundary-layer heating, though 19°C trails at 18.5% due to potential afternoon cloud incursions reducing peak solar input. Differentiating factors include exact timing of maximum temperatures (typically 14–16 UTC), minor model divergences on low-level mixing, and station-specific microclimate effects. DWD updates and real-time observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,848Data de Término
18 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 20°C (30.5%) and 21°C (28.5%) as Munich's highest temperature at the airport station (EDDM) on April 18, reflecting ECMWF and GFS model ensembles clustering in the 19–21°C range amid a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly flow and above-average insolation for mid-spring. Recent 12Z runs on April 17 show minimal spread, boosted by clear skies enhancing boundary-layer heating, though 19°C trails at 18.5% due to potential afternoon cloud incursions reducing peak solar input. Differentiating factors include exact timing of maximum temperatures (typically 14–16 UTC), minor model divergences on low-level mixing, and station-specific microclimate effects. DWD updates and real-time observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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