Current forecast consensus from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 20 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant solar insolation, light westerly flow, and minimal heat advection. This narrow range, consistent with climatological baselines around 31–32°C and recent model runs showing stable high pressure without anomalous warming, drives the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C at 53% implied probability and 32°C at 40%. Small variations in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover could shift the peak across the threshold, while extremes remain improbable absent major pattern changes. Updated model outputs and observations through the weekend will refine resolution criteria.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 20 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 20 de agosto?
33°C 53%
32°C 36%
34°C 8%
31°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
20 ago 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
36%
33°C
53%
34°C
8%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 53%
32°C 36%
34°C 8%
31°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
20 ago 2026
29°C or below
$397 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$265 Vol.
1%
31°C
$269 Vol.
3%
32°C
$893 Vol.
36%
33°C
$502 Vol.
53%
34°C
$183 Vol.
8%
35°C
$68 Vol.
1%
36°C
$106 Vol.
1%
37°C
$106 Vol.
1%
38°C
$51 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$206 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 20 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant solar insolation, light westerly flow, and minimal heat advection. This narrow range, consistent with climatological baselines around 31–32°C and recent model runs showing stable high pressure without anomalous warming, drives the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C at 53% implied probability and 32°C at 40%. Small variations in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover could shift the peak across the threshold, while extremes remain improbable absent major pattern changes. Updated model outputs and observations through the weekend will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,048Data de Término
20 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 20 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant solar insolation, light westerly flow, and minimal heat advection. This narrow range, consistent with climatological baselines around 31–32°C and recent model runs showing stable high pressure without anomalous warming, drives the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C at 53% implied probability and 32°C at 40%. Small variations in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover could shift the peak across the threshold, while extremes remain improbable absent major pattern changes. Updated model outputs and observations through the weekend will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,048Data de Término
20 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 20 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant solar insolation, light westerly flow, and minimal heat advection. This narrow range, consistent with climatological baselines around 31–32°C and recent model runs showing stable high pressure without anomalous warming, drives the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C at 53% implied probability and 32°C at 40%. Small variations in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover could shift the peak across the threshold, while extremes remain improbable absent major pattern changes. Updated model outputs and observations through the weekend will refine resolution criteria.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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