Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 18 around 31–32°C because current short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models consistently project daytime maxima in that narrow band under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions. A persistent subtropical high-pressure system is expected to maintain sunny skies and light winds, limiting both cooling and extreme heating, while sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C moderate coastal peaks. Historical data show average August highs near 30–31°C with low day-to-day variability this time of year, and no heat-wave signals or model outliers currently appear in the outlook. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely determine whether probabilities shift toward 33°C or settle firmly at 32°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 18 de agosto?
32°C 53%
31°C 36%
33°C 10%
30°C 4%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
36%
32°C
53%
33°C
10%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 53%
31°C 36%
33°C 10%
30°C 4%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
36%
32°C
53%
33°C
10%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 18 around 31–32°C because current short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models consistently project daytime maxima in that narrow band under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions. A persistent subtropical high-pressure system is expected to maintain sunny skies and light winds, limiting both cooling and extreme heating, while sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C moderate coastal peaks. Historical data show average August highs near 30–31°C with low day-to-day variability this time of year, and no heat-wave signals or model outliers currently appear in the outlook. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely determine whether probabilities shift toward 33°C or settle firmly at 32°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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