Current forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service, Met Office, and global models centers on a maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and seasonal temperatures without extreme heat advection from the interior. This positioning drives the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C at 68.5% implied probability, as minor variations in daytime heating or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak across the narrow threshold. Historical climatology shows average highs near 31–33°C this time of year, with no recent model runs or atmospheric shifts indicating intensification or cooling, keeping lower or higher extremes at minimal odds ahead of final observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 16 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 16 de agosto?
33°C 71%
32°C 21%
34°C 11%
35°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
16 ago 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
21%
33°C
71%
34°C
11%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 71%
32°C 21%
34°C 11%
35°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
16 ago 2026
29°C or below
$915 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$894 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$397 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,152 Vol.
21%
33°C
$1,786 Vol.
71%
34°C
$870 Vol.
11%
35°C
$452 Vol.
1%
36°C
$409 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$502 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$456 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$441 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service, Met Office, and global models centers on a maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and seasonal temperatures without extreme heat advection from the interior. This positioning drives the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C at 68.5% implied probability, as minor variations in daytime heating or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak across the narrow threshold. Historical climatology shows average highs near 31–33°C this time of year, with no recent model runs or atmospheric shifts indicating intensification or cooling, keeping lower or higher extremes at minimal odds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,134Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service, Met Office, and global models centers on a maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and seasonal temperatures without extreme heat advection from the interior. This positioning drives the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C at 68.5% implied probability, as minor variations in daytime heating or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak across the narrow threshold. Historical climatology shows average highs near 31–33°C this time of year, with no recent model runs or atmospheric shifts indicating intensification or cooling, keeping lower or higher extremes at minimal odds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,134Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service, Met Office, and global models centers on a maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and seasonal temperatures without extreme heat advection from the interior. This positioning drives the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C at 68.5% implied probability, as minor variations in daytime heating or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak across the narrow threshold. Historical climatology shows average highs near 31–33°C this time of year, with no recent model runs or atmospheric shifts indicating intensification or cooling, keeping lower or higher extremes at minimal odds ahead of final observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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