Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting numerical weather models project a daily maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on June 3 under clear skies, light northwesterly flow, and negligible cloud cover, with real-time surface observations tracking directly toward this threshold. This alignment of model consensus and early-day readings underpins the market-implied 100% probability on 32°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of minimal deviation risk given the stable synoptic pattern. Minor shifts in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or localized urban heat effects remain the primary variables that could alter the recorded high before resolution, though current conditions indicate low likelihood of such changes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 3 de junho?
32°C 100.0%
24°C ou menos <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$49,825 Vol.
$49,825 Vol.
24°C ou menos
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Sim
33°C
Não
34°C ou mais
Não
32°C 100.0%
24°C ou menos <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$49,825 Vol.
$49,825 Vol.
24°C ou menos
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Sim
33°C
Não
34°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting numerical weather models project a daily maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on June 3 under clear skies, light northwesterly flow, and negligible cloud cover, with real-time surface observations tracking directly toward this threshold. This alignment of model consensus and early-day readings underpins the market-implied 100% probability on 32°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of minimal deviation risk given the stable synoptic pattern. Minor shifts in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or localized urban heat effects remain the primary variables that could alter the recorded high before resolution, though current conditions indicate low likelihood of such changes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions