Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high of 27–29°C for April 18 at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driving trader consensus toward 28°C at 42% implied probability amid a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and warm southerly flow. This exceeds mid-April climatological averages of 22–25°C, fueled by recent spring warming trends confirmed by April 16–17 highs near 25–27°C from official observations. Uncertainty lingers in potential afternoon cloud development or patchy rain, which could limit peaks to 27°C, while prolonged sunshine supports 29°C; monitor CMA updates and model runs this evening for resolution shifts ahead of tomorrow's observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 18?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 18?
28°C 42%
27°C 25%
29°C 22%
26°C 7%
$10,798 Vol.
$10,798 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
25%
28°C
42%
29°C
22%
30°C
6%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 42%
27°C 25%
29°C 22%
26°C 7%
$10,798 Vol.
$10,798 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
25%
28°C
42%
29°C
22%
30°C
6%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high of 27–29°C for April 18 at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driving trader consensus toward 28°C at 42% implied probability amid a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and warm southerly flow. This exceeds mid-April climatological averages of 22–25°C, fueled by recent spring warming trends confirmed by April 16–17 highs near 25–27°C from official observations. Uncertainty lingers in potential afternoon cloud development or patchy rain, which could limit peaks to 27°C, while prolonged sunshine supports 29°C; monitor CMA updates and model runs this evening for resolution shifts ahead of tomorrow's observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions