United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Karelia Legislative Assembly election market due to its established majority control of the 36-seat body from prior cycles and the structural advantages of Russia's party registration rules and single-member district system ahead of the September 18–20, 2026 vote. Regional authorities have enforced candidate approvals that limit opposition participation, as seen in recent rejections and court actions affecting parties such as Yabloko. Other listed parties remain at low implied probabilities consistent with historical vote shares below 17 percent in Karelia. Trader consensus reflects these institutional patterns, though late developments such as federal policy shifts or unexpected turnout changes within the short campaign window could still alter seat outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoUnited Russia 95.1%
Yabloko 2.9%
LDPR 2.6%
Rodina 2.3%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
United Russia
95%
Yabloko
3%
LDPR
3%
Rodina
2%
A Just Russia
2%
Party of Pensioners
2%
CPRF
1%
New People
1%
Communists of Russia
<1%
The Greens
<1%
United Russia 95.1%
Yabloko 2.9%
LDPR 2.6%
Rodina 2.3%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
United Russia
$554 Vol.
95%
Yabloko
$163 Vol.
3%
LDPR
$238 Vol.
3%
Rodina
$264 Vol.
2%
A Just Russia
$165 Vol.
2%
Party of Pensioners
$145 Vol.
2%
CPRF
$186 Vol.
1%
New People
$239 Vol.
1%
Communists of Russia
$145 Vol.
<1%
The Greens
$145 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Karelia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Karelia Legislative Assembly election market due to its established majority control of the 36-seat body from prior cycles and the structural advantages of Russia's party registration rules and single-member district system ahead of the September 18–20, 2026 vote. Regional authorities have enforced candidate approvals that limit opposition participation, as seen in recent rejections and court actions affecting parties such as Yabloko. Other listed parties remain at low implied probabilities consistent with historical vote shares below 17 percent in Karelia. Trader consensus reflects these institutional patterns, though late developments such as federal policy shifts or unexpected turnout changes within the short campaign window could still alter seat outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Karelia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 28, 2026, 11:46 AM ET
Volume
$2,243Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Karelia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Karelia Legislative Assembly election market due to its established majority control of the 36-seat body from prior cycles and the structural advantages of Russia's party registration rules and single-member district system ahead of the September 18–20, 2026 vote. Regional authorities have enforced candidate approvals that limit opposition participation, as seen in recent rejections and court actions affecting parties such as Yabloko. Other listed parties remain at low implied probabilities consistent with historical vote shares below 17 percent in Karelia. Trader consensus reflects these institutional patterns, though late developments such as federal policy shifts or unexpected turnout changes within the short campaign window could still alter seat outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Karelia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$2,243Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Karelia Legislative Assembly election market due to its established majority control of the 36-seat body from prior cycles and the structural advantages of Russia's party registration rules and single-member district system ahead of the September 18–20, 2026 vote. Regional authorities have enforced candidate approvals that limit opposition participation, as seen in recent rejections and court actions affecting parties such as Yabloko. Other listed parties remain at low implied probabilities consistent with historical vote shares below 17 percent in Karelia. Trader consensus reflects these institutional patterns, though late developments such as federal policy shifts or unexpected turnout changes within the short campaign window could still alter seat outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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