Forecast models and official guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C for Amsterdam on August 27, 2026, with overnight readings holding near that level under partly cloudy to overcast skies and light easterly winds. Ensemble outputs and high-resolution runs show limited cooling potential, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical overnight lows range 15–17°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability for exactly 16°C reflects this tight consensus across authoritative sources, with traders assigning near-certainty to the outcome. A realistic shift away from 16°C would require a sharper-than-forecast nocturnal drop, such as from unexpected clear-sky radiational cooling or stronger advection of cooler maritime air, though current guidance assigns low likelihood to deviations exceeding 1°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Amesterdão a 27 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Amesterdão a 27 de agosto?
16°C 99.4%
13°C or below 4%
15°C 2%
14°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
27 ago 2026
13°C or below
4%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
99%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
16°C 99.4%
13°C or below 4%
15°C 2%
14°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
27 ago 2026
13°C or below
$13 Vol.
4%
14°C
$56 Vol.
1%
15°C
$94 Vol.
2%
16°C
$188 Vol.
99%
17°C
$613 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$290 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$76 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and official guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C for Amsterdam on August 27, 2026, with overnight readings holding near that level under partly cloudy to overcast skies and light easterly winds. Ensemble outputs and high-resolution runs show limited cooling potential, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical overnight lows range 15–17°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability for exactly 16°C reflects this tight consensus across authoritative sources, with traders assigning near-certainty to the outcome. A realistic shift away from 16°C would require a sharper-than-forecast nocturnal drop, such as from unexpected clear-sky radiational cooling or stronger advection of cooler maritime air, though current guidance assigns low likelihood to deviations exceeding 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,605Data de Término
27 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and official guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C for Amsterdam on August 27, 2026, with overnight readings holding near that level under partly cloudy to overcast skies and light easterly winds. Ensemble outputs and high-resolution runs show limited cooling potential, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical overnight lows range 15–17°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability for exactly 16°C reflects this tight consensus across authoritative sources, with traders assigning near-certainty to the outcome. A realistic shift away from 16°C would require a sharper-than-forecast nocturnal drop, such as from unexpected clear-sky radiational cooling or stronger advection of cooler maritime air, though current guidance assigns low likelihood to deviations exceeding 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,605Data de Término
27 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and official guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C for Amsterdam on August 27, 2026, with overnight readings holding near that level under partly cloudy to overcast skies and light easterly winds. Ensemble outputs and high-resolution runs show limited cooling potential, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical overnight lows range 15–17°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability for exactly 16°C reflects this tight consensus across authoritative sources, with traders assigning near-certainty to the outcome. A realistic shift away from 16°C would require a sharper-than-forecast nocturnal drop, such as from unexpected clear-sky radiational cooling or stronger advection of cooler maritime air, though current guidance assigns low likelihood to deviations exceeding 1°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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