Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate nighttime lows around 21–23°C on September 1 amid the seasonal transition from the East Asian monsoon, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow potentially enhancing radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin. Model consensus from global ensembles shows limited cold-air advection this close to resolution, supporting market-implied odds favoring 19°C or below as the leading outcome while reflecting uncertainty in exact minimums due to urban heat island effects and inversion layers. Historical September climatology places typical daily minima near 19–22°C early in the month, with upcoming China Meteorological Administration updates likely to refine probabilities before the date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Chengdu no dia 1 de setembro?
19°C or below 92%
29°C or higher 53%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
19°C or below
92%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
27%
23°C
28%
24°C
25%
25°C
49%
26°C
2%
27°C
8%
28°C
8%
29°C or higher
53%
19°C or below 92%
29°C or higher 53%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
19°C or below
92%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
27%
23°C
28%
24°C
25%
25°C
49%
26°C
2%
27°C
8%
28°C
8%
29°C or higher
53%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate nighttime lows around 21–23°C on September 1 amid the seasonal transition from the East Asian monsoon, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow potentially enhancing radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin. Model consensus from global ensembles shows limited cold-air advection this close to resolution, supporting market-implied odds favoring 19°C or below as the leading outcome while reflecting uncertainty in exact minimums due to urban heat island effects and inversion layers. Historical September climatology places typical daily minima near 19–22°C early in the month, with upcoming China Meteorological Administration updates likely to refine probabilities before the date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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