Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate expected minimum temperatures near 20–22°C under persistent cloudy skies and light rain associated with regional monsoon moisture and Sichuan basin topography. The balanced 50% odds on 16°C or below versus 26°C or higher reflect notable divergence among numerical weather prediction models regarding overnight radiative cooling versus warm advection, a common feature in transitional September patterns where high humidity and weak winds limit temperature swings. Historical analogs show typical daily minima around 19–21°C for this period, underscoring how small shifts in cloud cover or frontal passage could determine the outcome ahead of final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Chengdu em 20 de setembro?
26°C ou mais 85%
16°C ou menos 81%
17°C 39%
18°C 39%
16°C ou menos
81%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
30%
21°C
30%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C ou mais
85%
26°C ou mais 85%
16°C ou menos 81%
17°C 39%
18°C 39%
16°C ou menos
81%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
30%
21°C
30%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C ou mais
85%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate expected minimum temperatures near 20–22°C under persistent cloudy skies and light rain associated with regional monsoon moisture and Sichuan basin topography. The balanced 50% odds on 16°C or below versus 26°C or higher reflect notable divergence among numerical weather prediction models regarding overnight radiative cooling versus warm advection, a common feature in transitional September patterns where high humidity and weak winds limit temperature swings. Historical analogs show typical daily minima around 19–21°C for this period, underscoring how small shifts in cloud cover or frontal passage could determine the outcome ahead of final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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