Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate an overnight low in Chongqing near 21–23°C for September 24, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and light northerly winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. This positions the most likely outcome within the 20–23°C range, where market-implied probabilities cluster around 18–25%. The near-even 48% odds on 17°C or below versus 27°C or higher reflect model spread and historical variability in autumn transition periods, when subtle shifts in humidity, wind patterns, or frontal passage can alter minimum temperatures by several degrees. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and refined local observations on the 23rd–24th will provide the key data for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Chongqing em 24 de setembro?
17°C ou menos 97%
27°C ou mais 97%
22°C 48%
21°C 44%
17°C ou menos
97%
18°C
35%
19°C
35%
20°C
35%
21°C
24%
22°C
26%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C ou mais
97%
17°C ou menos 97%
27°C ou mais 97%
22°C 48%
21°C 44%
17°C ou menos
97%
18°C
35%
19°C
35%
20°C
35%
21°C
24%
22°C
26%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C ou mais
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate an overnight low in Chongqing near 21–23°C for September 24, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and light northerly winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. This positions the most likely outcome within the 20–23°C range, where market-implied probabilities cluster around 18–25%. The near-even 48% odds on 17°C or below versus 27°C or higher reflect model spread and historical variability in autumn transition periods, when subtle shifts in humidity, wind patterns, or frontal passage can alter minimum temperatures by several degrees. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and refined local observations on the 23rd–24th will provide the key data for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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