Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows near 21°C in Istanbul on August 21 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly flow and moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus. This aligns with late-summer climatology where average August minima range 19–23°C, driven by typical radiative cooling rates after daytime highs of 28–31°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind could allow cooler readings in the 17–19°C range or push toward 22°C. Trader-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with substantial volume on bins around 19–23°C amid ongoing monitoring of updated numerical weather prediction runs ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Istambul no dia 21 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Istambul no dia 21 de agosto?
19°C 32%
21°C 32%
20°C 31%
23°C 31%
NOVO
NOVO
21 ago 2026
17°C or below
19%
18°C
31%
19°C
32%
20°C
31%
21°C
32%
22°C
31%
23°C
31%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
1%
19°C 32%
21°C 32%
20°C 31%
23°C 31%
NOVO
NOVO
21 ago 2026
17°C or below
$104 Vol.
19%
18°C
$81 Vol.
31%
19°C
$0 Vol.
32%
20°C
$0 Vol.
31%
21°C
$0 Vol.
32%
22°C
$16 Vol.
31%
23°C
$0 Vol.
31%
24°C
$227 Vol.
1%
25°C
$435 Vol.
1%
26°C
$937 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$288 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows near 21°C in Istanbul on August 21 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly flow and moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus. This aligns with late-summer climatology where average August minima range 19–23°C, driven by typical radiative cooling rates after daytime highs of 28–31°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind could allow cooler readings in the 17–19°C range or push toward 22°C. Trader-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with substantial volume on bins around 19–23°C amid ongoing monitoring of updated numerical weather prediction runs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$2,008Data de Término
21 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows near 21°C in Istanbul on August 21 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly flow and moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus. This aligns with late-summer climatology where average August minima range 19–23°C, driven by typical radiative cooling rates after daytime highs of 28–31°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind could allow cooler readings in the 17–19°C range or push toward 22°C. Trader-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with substantial volume on bins around 19–23°C amid ongoing monitoring of updated numerical weather prediction runs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,008Data de Término
21 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows near 21°C in Istanbul on August 21 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly flow and moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus. This aligns with late-summer climatology where average August minima range 19–23°C, driven by typical radiative cooling rates after daytime highs of 28–31°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind could allow cooler readings in the 17–19°C range or push toward 22°C. Trader-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with substantial volume on bins around 19–23°C amid ongoing monitoring of updated numerical weather prediction runs ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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