**Coastal Red Sea dynamics and model spread create the near-even split between a 24°C-or-below minimum (50.0% implied) and a 34°C-or-higher minimum (49.0%) for Jeddah on September 23.** Persistent high pressure and sea-surface temperatures near 30–31°C typically anchor overnight lows around the seasonal 28–30°C average, but land-sea breeze reversals and variable low-level moisture can produce 2–4°C swings in either direction. Clear, dry subsidence favors the warmer tail by limiting nocturnal cooling, while any increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow from the Red Sea could push the minimum toward the cooler outcome. With the date only two days ahead, the latest ECMWF and GFS runs show stable hot, humid conditions, yet small differences in boundary-layer mixing or wind direction keep the tails competitive in trader assessments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Jeddah em 23 de setembro?
24°C ou menos 100%
34°C ou mais 98%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
24°C ou menos
100%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
40%
28°C
40%
29°C
40%
30°C
40%
31°C
40%
32°C
40%
33°C
40%
34°C ou mais
98%
24°C ou menos 100%
34°C ou mais 98%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
24°C ou menos
100%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
40%
28°C
40%
29°C
40%
30°C
40%
31°C
40%
32°C
40%
33°C
40%
34°C ou mais
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Coastal Red Sea dynamics and model spread create the near-even split between a 24°C-or-below minimum (50.0% implied) and a 34°C-or-higher minimum (49.0%) for Jeddah on September 23.** Persistent high pressure and sea-surface temperatures near 30–31°C typically anchor overnight lows around the seasonal 28–30°C average, but land-sea breeze reversals and variable low-level moisture can produce 2–4°C swings in either direction. Clear, dry subsidence favors the warmer tail by limiting nocturnal cooling, while any increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow from the Red Sea could push the minimum toward the cooler outcome. With the date only two days ahead, the latest ECMWF and GFS runs show stable hot, humid conditions, yet small differences in boundary-layer mixing or wind direction keep the tails competitive in trader assessments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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