Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place the most likely overnight minimum temperature in London on August 19 in the 16–18°C range, driven by moderate Atlantic airflow, limited cloud cover allowing some radiative cooling, and typical seasonal norms for mid-August. Urban heat-island effects and light winds further support values clustering near 17°C as the leading outcome. Model spread remains modest at this short lead time, with resolution criteria focused on official Met Office station readings; any shift in high-pressure positioning or increased moisture could nudge probabilities toward 15°C or 18°C. Traders monitor the next model cycles for refinements ahead of the 24-hour window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres em 19 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Londres em 19 de agosto?
17°C 56%
16°C 24%
18°C 13%
15°C 4%
NOVO
NOVO
19 ago 2026
11°C ou menos
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
24%
17°C
56%
18°C
13%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C ou mais
<1%
17°C 56%
16°C 24%
18°C 13%
15°C 4%
NOVO
NOVO
19 ago 2026
11°C ou menos
$108 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$108 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$50 Vol.
1%
15°C
$241 Vol.
4%
16°C
$959 Vol.
24%
17°C
$1,868 Vol.
56%
18°C
$573 Vol.
13%
19°C
$162 Vol.
2%
20°C
$151 Vol.
<1%
21°C ou mais
$146 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place the most likely overnight minimum temperature in London on August 19 in the 16–18°C range, driven by moderate Atlantic airflow, limited cloud cover allowing some radiative cooling, and typical seasonal norms for mid-August. Urban heat-island effects and light winds further support values clustering near 17°C as the leading outcome. Model spread remains modest at this short lead time, with resolution criteria focused on official Met Office station readings; any shift in high-pressure positioning or increased moisture could nudge probabilities toward 15°C or 18°C. Traders monitor the next model cycles for refinements ahead of the 24-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$4,415Data de Término
19 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place the most likely overnight minimum temperature in London on August 19 in the 16–18°C range, driven by moderate Atlantic airflow, limited cloud cover allowing some radiative cooling, and typical seasonal norms for mid-August. Urban heat-island effects and light winds further support values clustering near 17°C as the leading outcome. Model spread remains modest at this short lead time, with resolution criteria focused on official Met Office station readings; any shift in high-pressure positioning or increased moisture could nudge probabilities toward 15°C or 18°C. Traders monitor the next model cycles for refinements ahead of the 24-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,415Data de Término
19 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place the most likely overnight minimum temperature in London on August 19 in the 16–18°C range, driven by moderate Atlantic airflow, limited cloud cover allowing some radiative cooling, and typical seasonal norms for mid-August. Urban heat-island effects and light winds further support values clustering near 17°C as the leading outcome. Model spread remains modest at this short lead time, with resolution criteria focused on official Met Office station readings; any shift in high-pressure positioning or increased moisture could nudge probabilities toward 15°C or 18°C. Traders monitor the next model cycles for refinements ahead of the 24-hour window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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