Mild atmospheric conditions overnight have anchored trader consensus around an 11°C low for London on September 21, with market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome versus just 0.1% for 8°C or below. Official Met Office guidance and station data indicate minimum temperatures near 9–13°C under partly clear skies and light southerly flow, consistent with late-September climatology where radiational cooling is moderated by residual warmth and weak pressure gradients. No significant cold-air advection or stronger high-pressure setup materialized to drive deeper nocturnal drops. While forecast models carry small uncertainty ranges from localized microclimates or measurement timing, a plunge below 8°C would require atypical clear-sky intensification or unmodeled wind shifts not supported by current observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 21 de setembro?
11°C 100.0%
8°C ou menos <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$9,110 Vol.
$9,110 Vol.
8°C ou menos
Não
9°C
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Sim
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C ou mais alta
Não
11°C 100.0%
8°C ou menos <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$9,110 Vol.
$9,110 Vol.
8°C ou menos
Não
9°C
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Sim
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C ou mais alta
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Mild atmospheric conditions overnight have anchored trader consensus around an 11°C low for London on September 21, with market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome versus just 0.1% for 8°C or below. Official Met Office guidance and station data indicate minimum temperatures near 9–13°C under partly clear skies and light southerly flow, consistent with late-September climatology where radiational cooling is moderated by residual warmth and weak pressure gradients. No significant cold-air advection or stronger high-pressure setup materialized to drive deeper nocturnal drops. While forecast models carry small uncertainty ranges from localized microclimates or measurement timing, a plunge below 8°C would require atypical clear-sky intensification or unmodeled wind shifts not supported by current observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions