**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear overnight skies have driven the strong market consensus toward a 12°C minimum temperature in London on September 24, with traders assigning 96% implied probability to this outcome.** Official Met Office guidance and numerical weather models indicate a chilly start with light winds and minimal cloud cover, promoting efficient radiative cooling that aligns with the forecasted overnight low near 12°C. Recent observations show temperatures already approaching this range in the early hours, consistent with September climatology for the region under settled anticyclonic flow. While forecast confidence is high given model agreement and current observations, modest revisions could arise from localized urban heat effects, slight increases in low-level moisture, or delayed frontal influences that limit further cooling.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 24 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 24 de setembro?
12°C 95%
11°C 5%
10°C 2%
9°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
24 set 2026
6°C ou menos
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
5%
12°C
95%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C ou mais
<1%
12°C 95%
11°C 5%
10°C 2%
9°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
24 set 2026
6°C ou menos
$25 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$20 Vol.
1%
9°C
$224 Vol.
1%
10°C
$755 Vol.
2%
11°C
$797 Vol.
5%
12°C
$1,158 Vol.
95%
13°C
$570 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$161 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
16°C ou mais
$25 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear overnight skies have driven the strong market consensus toward a 12°C minimum temperature in London on September 24, with traders assigning 96% implied probability to this outcome.** Official Met Office guidance and numerical weather models indicate a chilly start with light winds and minimal cloud cover, promoting efficient radiative cooling that aligns with the forecasted overnight low near 12°C. Recent observations show temperatures already approaching this range in the early hours, consistent with September climatology for the region under settled anticyclonic flow. While forecast confidence is high given model agreement and current observations, modest revisions could arise from localized urban heat effects, slight increases in low-level moisture, or delayed frontal influences that limit further cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,759Data de Término
24 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear overnight skies have driven the strong market consensus toward a 12°C minimum temperature in London on September 24, with traders assigning 96% implied probability to this outcome.** Official Met Office guidance and numerical weather models indicate a chilly start with light winds and minimal cloud cover, promoting efficient radiative cooling that aligns with the forecasted overnight low near 12°C. Recent observations show temperatures already approaching this range in the early hours, consistent with September climatology for the region under settled anticyclonic flow. While forecast confidence is high given model agreement and current observations, modest revisions could arise from localized urban heat effects, slight increases in low-level moisture, or delayed frontal influences that limit further cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,759Data de Término
24 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47de9d...**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear overnight skies have driven the strong market consensus toward a 12°C minimum temperature in London on September 24, with traders assigning 96% implied probability to this outcome.** Official Met Office guidance and numerical weather models indicate a chilly start with light winds and minimal cloud cover, promoting efficient radiative cooling that aligns with the forecasted overnight low near 12°C. Recent observations show temperatures already approaching this range in the early hours, consistent with September climatology for the region under settled anticyclonic flow. While forecast confidence is high given model agreement and current observations, modest revisions could arise from localized urban heat effects, slight increases in low-level moisture, or delayed frontal influences that limit further cooling.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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