Recent forecast updates from models like those used by the German Weather Service and BBC Weather place Munich’s overnight low for August 22 near 11–13 °C, reflecting the primary influence of clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds that permit moderate radiative cooling after a daytime high around 22–23 °C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on these values because ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with differences driven by small variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer humidity that can shift minimum temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology (typical lows 12–14 °C) and the absence of strong frontal systems support the narrow distribution, while any late-model shift toward increased cloudiness or calm conditions could favor the lower tail. Updated runs expected overnight will clarify resolution thresholds.