Recent forecast model runs indicate variable conditions for Munich on August 31, with a weakening high-pressure system giving way to Atlantic fronts that introduce cloud cover, light rain, and westerly winds. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting overnight lows clustered around 14–17 °C according to multiple guidance sources, while daytime maxima reach 23–25 °C. The spread in market-implied probabilities across the 11–21 °C range reflects uncertainty in exact timing of precipitation and cloud breaks, which can alter the minimum by several degrees. Historical August minima in the region average near 12–14 °C, but the current transition to more oceanic flow reduces the chance of colder outliers. Updated model outputs and official guidance from European meteorological agencies will refine the expected low ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Munique em 31 de agosto?
11°C or below 63%
21°C or higher 55%
17°C 49%
18°C 49%
11°C or below
63%
12°C
47%
13°C
25%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
55%
11°C or below 63%
21°C or higher 55%
17°C 49%
18°C 49%
11°C or below
63%
12°C
47%
13°C
25%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs indicate variable conditions for Munich on August 31, with a weakening high-pressure system giving way to Atlantic fronts that introduce cloud cover, light rain, and westerly winds. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting overnight lows clustered around 14–17 °C according to multiple guidance sources, while daytime maxima reach 23–25 °C. The spread in market-implied probabilities across the 11–21 °C range reflects uncertainty in exact timing of precipitation and cloud breaks, which can alter the minimum by several degrees. Historical August minima in the region average near 12–14 °C, but the current transition to more oceanic flow reduces the chance of colder outliers. Updated model outputs and official guidance from European meteorological agencies will refine the expected low ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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