Forecasts from major models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Munich around 15–16°C on August 29, 2026, driven by a moderating westerly flow and overnight cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent model runs show a modest cool-down from prior warmth, with scattered showers possible but insufficient to push surface temperatures significantly lower. Trader pricing reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer details: stronger winds or clearer skies could allow the minimum to dip toward 13–14°C, while persistent cloud and mixing support values near 16–17°C. The elevated 34% implied probability on 10°C or below captures tail risk from forecast busts or localized cooling, whereas the 29% on 20°C or higher likely reflects mispricing or hedging. Historical August minima average near 13°C, providing context for the current consensus around the 14–16°C cluster.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Munique em 29 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Munique em 29 de agosto?
10°C or below 69%
11°C 49%
20°C or higher 49%
12°C 48%
NOVO
NOVO
29 ago 2026
10°C or below
69%
11°C
49%
12°C
48%
13°C
28%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
48%
17°C
48%
18°C
2%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
49%
10°C or below 69%
11°C 49%
20°C or higher 49%
12°C 48%
NOVO
NOVO
29 ago 2026
10°C or below
$0 Vol.
69%
11°C
$0 Vol.
49%
12°C
$0 Vol.
48%
13°C
$0 Vol.
28%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
48%
17°C
$0 Vol.
48%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
8%
20°C or higher
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from major models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Munich around 15–16°C on August 29, 2026, driven by a moderating westerly flow and overnight cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent model runs show a modest cool-down from prior warmth, with scattered showers possible but insufficient to push surface temperatures significantly lower. Trader pricing reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer details: stronger winds or clearer skies could allow the minimum to dip toward 13–14°C, while persistent cloud and mixing support values near 16–17°C. The elevated 34% implied probability on 10°C or below captures tail risk from forecast busts or localized cooling, whereas the 29% on 20°C or higher likely reflects mispricing or hedging. Historical August minima average near 13°C, providing context for the current consensus around the 14–16°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from major models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Munich around 15–16°C on August 29, 2026, driven by a moderating westerly flow and overnight cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent model runs show a modest cool-down from prior warmth, with scattered showers possible but insufficient to push surface temperatures significantly lower. Trader pricing reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer details: stronger winds or clearer skies could allow the minimum to dip toward 13–14°C, while persistent cloud and mixing support values near 16–17°C. The elevated 34% implied probability on 10°C or below captures tail risk from forecast busts or localized cooling, whereas the 29% on 20°C or higher likely reflects mispricing or hedging. Historical August minima average near 13°C, providing context for the current consensus around the 14–16°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from major models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Munich around 15–16°C on August 29, 2026, driven by a moderating westerly flow and overnight cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent model runs show a modest cool-down from prior warmth, with scattered showers possible but insufficient to push surface temperatures significantly lower. Trader pricing reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer details: stronger winds or clearer skies could allow the minimum to dip toward 13–14°C, while persistent cloud and mixing support values near 16–17°C. The elevated 34% implied probability on 10°C or below captures tail risk from forecast busts or localized cooling, whereas the 29% on 20°C or higher likely reflects mispricing or hedging. Historical August minima average near 13°C, providing context for the current consensus around the 14–16°C cluster.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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