**Forecasts for Qingdao’s overnight minimum on September 9 center on 17–20 °C, shaped by persistent northerly flow advecting cooler continental air over the Yellow Sea coast and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that promote radiative cooling after sunset.** Multiple sources, including PredictWind (17 °C low), Yr.no and Chinese meteorological sites (18–19 °C), and U.S. models converting to roughly 19–20 °C, cluster in this range, with the 17 °C outcome holding the highest market share at 33.5 %. The closely bunched probabilities around 15–19 °C reflect typical short-range ensemble spread: modest differences in wind speed or residual cloud cover can shift the exact pre-dawn minimum by 1–2 °C, while stronger northerlies or clearer skies would favor the lower tail (14 °C or below at 29 %). Historical September climatology (average lows near 18 °C) provides context, but current synoptic setup favors slightly cooler readings than seasonal norms. Updated model runs overnight will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Qingdao em 9 de setembro?
16°C 50%
14°C ou menos 45%
17°C 27%
15°C 27%
14°C ou menos
45%
15°C
27%
16°C
50%
17°C
27%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C ou mais
1%
16°C 50%
14°C ou menos 45%
17°C 27%
15°C 27%
14°C ou menos
45%
15°C
27%
16°C
50%
17°C
27%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts for Qingdao’s overnight minimum on September 9 center on 17–20 °C, shaped by persistent northerly flow advecting cooler continental air over the Yellow Sea coast and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that promote radiative cooling after sunset.** Multiple sources, including PredictWind (17 °C low), Yr.no and Chinese meteorological sites (18–19 °C), and U.S. models converting to roughly 19–20 °C, cluster in this range, with the 17 °C outcome holding the highest market share at 33.5 %. The closely bunched probabilities around 15–19 °C reflect typical short-range ensemble spread: modest differences in wind speed or residual cloud cover can shift the exact pre-dawn minimum by 1–2 °C, while stronger northerlies or clearer skies would favor the lower tail (14 °C or below at 29 %). Historical September climatology (average lows near 18 °C) provides context, but current synoptic setup favors slightly cooler readings than seasonal norms. Updated model runs overnight will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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