Official forecasts from monitoring agencies project a daily maximum near 35°C in Guangzhou on September 8, driven by mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and high solar insolation under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. This aligns with model consensus and places the outcome well above the 32.6°C climatological average high while remaining below the 35.9°C all-time record for the date. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 35°C reflects this tight observational and forecast alignment, with skin-in-the-game capital confirming limited upside or downside risk. A sudden increase in cloud cover, convective rainfall, or revised station readings could still shift the final verified high.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Guangzhou no dia 8 de setembro?
35°C 100.0%
29°C ou menos <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$42,578 Vol.
$42,578 Vol.
29°C ou menos
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C
Sim
36°C
Não
37°C
Não
38°C
Não
39°C ou mais
Não
35°C 100.0%
29°C ou menos <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$42,578 Vol.
$42,578 Vol.
29°C ou menos
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C
Sim
36°C
Não
37°C
Não
38°C
Não
39°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official forecasts from monitoring agencies project a daily maximum near 35°C in Guangzhou on September 8, driven by mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and high solar insolation under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. This aligns with model consensus and places the outcome well above the 32.6°C climatological average high while remaining below the 35.9°C all-time record for the date. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 35°C reflects this tight observational and forecast alignment, with skin-in-the-game capital confirming limited upside or downside risk. A sudden increase in cloud cover, convective rainfall, or revised station readings could still shift the final verified high.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions