**Official forecasts from meteorological services project an overnight low near 25°C in Shanghai on September 18, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northeast winds, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling.** Daytime readings have hovered in the upper 20s to low 30s °C with minimal temperature drop after sunset, consistent with subtropical late-summer conditions and model consensus from sources such as GFS data. Trader sentiment reflects this strong alignment across forecasts, with the 97% implied probability for exactly 25°C indicating high confidence in the official minimum. Only a sharp, unforecasted clearing or station-specific microclimate variation would realistically shift the outcome toward 24°C or lower.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 18 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 18 de setembro?
25°C 97%
24°C 3%
23°C 2.0%
22°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
97%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou mais
<1%
25°C 97%
24°C 3%
23°C 2.0%
22°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
19°C ou menos
$139 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$139 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$117 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$180 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,885 Vol.
2%
24°C
$3,772 Vol.
3%
25°C
$3,474 Vol.
97%
26°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$46 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$94 Vol.
<1%
29°C ou mais
$89 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from meteorological services project an overnight low near 25°C in Shanghai on September 18, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northeast winds, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling.**
Daytime readings have hovered in the upper 20s to low 30s °C with minimal temperature drop after sunset, consistent with subtropical late-summer conditions and model consensus from sources such as GFS data. Trader sentiment reflects this strong alignment across forecasts, with the 97% implied probability for exactly 25°C indicating high confidence in the official minimum.
Only a sharp, unforecasted clearing or station-specific microclimate variation would realistically shift the outcome toward 24°C or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$9,977Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from meteorological services project an overnight low near 25°C in Shanghai on September 18, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northeast winds, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling.**
Daytime readings have hovered in the upper 20s to low 30s °C with minimal temperature drop after sunset, consistent with subtropical late-summer conditions and model consensus from sources such as GFS data. Trader sentiment reflects this strong alignment across forecasts, with the 97% implied probability for exactly 25°C indicating high confidence in the official minimum.
Only a sharp, unforecasted clearing or station-specific microclimate variation would realistically shift the outcome toward 24°C or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,977Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from meteorological services project an overnight low near 25°C in Shanghai on September 18, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northeast winds, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling.** Daytime readings have hovered in the upper 20s to low 30s °C with minimal temperature drop after sunset, consistent with subtropical late-summer conditions and model consensus from sources such as GFS data. Trader sentiment reflects this strong alignment across forecasts, with the 97% implied probability for exactly 25°C indicating high confidence in the official minimum. Only a sharp, unforecasted clearing or station-specific microclimate variation would realistically shift the outcome toward 24°C or lower.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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