Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on September 23 will likely settle near 23–24°C, supporting the close market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Persistent easterly flow off the East China Sea, combined with high humidity near 70–90% and mostly cloudy skies, limits radiational cooling typical of clear autumn nights. Daytime highs near 29°C and light winds further moderate the diurnal range, keeping the minimum above historical late-September averages in some runs. No strong cold fronts or typhoon influences are expected in the 48-hour window, though minor model differences in cloud cover and wind speed could shift the final low by 1°C. Updated guidance from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and ECMWF runs ahead of resolution will be key for traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 23 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 23 de setembro?
24°C 38%
23°C 34%
25°C 16%
22°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
23 set 2026
18°C ou menos
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
9%
22°C
11%
23°C
34%
24°C
38%
25°C
16%
26°C
5%
27°C
8%
28°C ou mais
1%
24°C 38%
23°C 34%
25°C 16%
22°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
23 set 2026
18°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
1%
19°C
$70 Vol.
1%
20°C
$51 Vol.
1%
21°C
$55 Vol.
9%
22°C
$133 Vol.
11%
23°C
$424 Vol.
34%
24°C
$578 Vol.
38%
25°C
$3 Vol.
16%
26°C
$0 Vol.
5%
27°C
$100 Vol.
8%
28°C ou mais
$25 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on September 23 will likely settle near 23–24°C, supporting the close market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Persistent easterly flow off the East China Sea, combined with high humidity near 70–90% and mostly cloudy skies, limits radiational cooling typical of clear autumn nights. Daytime highs near 29°C and light winds further moderate the diurnal range, keeping the minimum above historical late-September averages in some runs. No strong cold fronts or typhoon influences are expected in the 48-hour window, though minor model differences in cloud cover and wind speed could shift the final low by 1°C. Updated guidance from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and ECMWF runs ahead of resolution will be key for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,440Data de Término
23 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on September 23 will likely settle near 23–24°C, supporting the close market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Persistent easterly flow off the East China Sea, combined with high humidity near 70–90% and mostly cloudy skies, limits radiational cooling typical of clear autumn nights. Daytime highs near 29°C and light winds further moderate the diurnal range, keeping the minimum above historical late-September averages in some runs. No strong cold fronts or typhoon influences are expected in the 48-hour window, though minor model differences in cloud cover and wind speed could shift the final low by 1°C. Updated guidance from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and ECMWF runs ahead of resolution will be key for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,440Data de Término
23 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on September 23 will likely settle near 23–24°C, supporting the close market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Persistent easterly flow off the East China Sea, combined with high humidity near 70–90% and mostly cloudy skies, limits radiational cooling typical of clear autumn nights. Daytime highs near 29°C and light winds further moderate the diurnal range, keeping the minimum above historical late-September averages in some runs. No strong cold fronts or typhoon influences are expected in the 48-hour window, though minor model differences in cloud cover and wind speed could shift the final low by 1°C. Updated guidance from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and ECMWF runs ahead of resolution will be key for traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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