Current numerical weather models from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project minimum temperatures in the mid-20s Celsius for Taipei on September 26, consistent with late-September climatology in the region’s humid subtropical climate. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between outcomes at or below 20°C and at or above 30°C because of lingering uncertainty around a potential tropical system east of the Philippines, whose track, intensity, and associated cloud cover or rain bands could alter overnight radiative cooling and humidity levels. Clear, calm conditions favor lower minima through enhanced longwave radiation loss, while increased moisture or wind from peripheral circulation tends to elevate them. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range as steering patterns and local boundary-layer conditions become clearer.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Taipei em 26 de setembro?
30°C ou mais 98%
24°C 40%
25°C 40%
21°C 39%
20°C ou menos
<1%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
40%
25°C
40%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C ou mais
98%
30°C ou mais 98%
24°C 40%
25°C 40%
21°C 39%
20°C ou menos
<1%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
40%
25°C
40%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C ou mais
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47de9d...Current numerical weather models from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project minimum temperatures in the mid-20s Celsius for Taipei on September 26, consistent with late-September climatology in the region’s humid subtropical climate. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between outcomes at or below 20°C and at or above 30°C because of lingering uncertainty around a potential tropical system east of the Philippines, whose track, intensity, and associated cloud cover or rain bands could alter overnight radiative cooling and humidity levels. Clear, calm conditions favor lower minima through enhanced longwave radiation loss, while increased moisture or wind from peripheral circulation tends to elevate them. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range as steering patterns and local boundary-layer conditions become clearer.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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