Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing a Democratic victory near 96%. Moore secured his party's nomination with over 88% in the June primary and leads Republican nominee Dan Cox by 27 points in the most recent public poll from late July. Maryland's consistent Democratic tilt, demonstrated by the party's 28-point presidential margin in 2024 and long history of retaining the governorship, underpins the positioning. Cox, a former state delegate and 2022 nominee, won a fragmented Republican primary but faces structural challenges in a state where forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp economic downturn, or significant turnout shift could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited movement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$22,112 Vol.
$22,112 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democrata
96%
Republicano
3%
$22,112 Vol.
$22,112 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democrata
$13,014 Vol.
96%
Republicano
$9,098 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing a Democratic victory near 96%. Moore secured his party's nomination with over 88% in the June primary and leads Republican nominee Dan Cox by 27 points in the most recent public poll from late July. Maryland's consistent Democratic tilt, demonstrated by the party's 28-point presidential margin in 2024 and long history of retaining the governorship, underpins the positioning. Cox, a former state delegate and 2022 nominee, won a fragmented Republican primary but faces structural challenges in a state where forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp economic downturn, or significant turnout shift could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited movement.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$22,112Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing a Democratic victory near 96%. Moore secured his party's nomination with over 88% in the June primary and leads Republican nominee Dan Cox by 27 points in the most recent public poll from late July. Maryland's consistent Democratic tilt, demonstrated by the party's 28-point presidential margin in 2024 and long history of retaining the governorship, underpins the positioning. Cox, a former state delegate and 2022 nominee, won a fragmented Republican primary but faces structural challenges in a state where forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp economic downturn, or significant turnout shift could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited movement.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$22,112Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing a Democratic victory near 96%. Moore secured his party's nomination with over 88% in the June primary and leads Republican nominee Dan Cox by 27 points in the most recent public poll from late July. Maryland's consistent Democratic tilt, demonstrated by the party's 28-point presidential margin in 2024 and long history of retaining the governorship, underpins the positioning. Cox, a former state delegate and 2022 nominee, won a fragmented Republican primary but faces structural challenges in a state where forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp economic downturn, or significant turnout shift could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited movement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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