Meta’s Mango image and video generation model, developed alongside the text-focused Avocado LLM under AI chief Alexandr Wang, was internally targeted for a first-half 2026 release following December 2025 roadmaps. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty after Avocado’s March performance shortfalls versus Gemini 3.0 prompted a delay to at least May, with no public confirmation or demo of Mango by mid-June despite ongoing multimodal competition against OpenAI’s Sora and Google systems. Recent reporting highlights Meta’s parallel work on open-source variants and emphasis on high-resolution generation and coding capabilities, but product timelines remain fluid amid typical AI development slips. Key near-term catalysts include potential earnings commentary, Superintelligence Labs updates, or benchmark leaks that could clarify whether the model meets the original H1 window or faces further postponement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMeta modelo "Mango" lançado pela...?
$26,586 Vol.
30 de junho
11%
$26,586 Vol.
30 de junho
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 22, 2025, 1:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Meta’s Mango image and video generation model, developed alongside the text-focused Avocado LLM under AI chief Alexandr Wang, was internally targeted for a first-half 2026 release following December 2025 roadmaps. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty after Avocado’s March performance shortfalls versus Gemini 3.0 prompted a delay to at least May, with no public confirmation or demo of Mango by mid-June despite ongoing multimodal competition against OpenAI’s Sora and Google systems. Recent reporting highlights Meta’s parallel work on open-source variants and emphasis on high-resolution generation and coding capabilities, but product timelines remain fluid amid typical AI development slips. Key near-term catalysts include potential earnings commentary, Superintelligence Labs updates, or benchmark leaks that could clarify whether the model meets the original H1 window or faces further postponement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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