Recent legal rulings have shifted the outlook for Missouri’s 5th congressional district. The Missouri Supreme Court blocked use of the mid-decade redrawn map for the November 3, 2026 general election, directing that contests proceed under the prior boundaries that favored Democrats. Longtime incumbent Emanuel Cleaver faces Republican nominee Rick Brattin in the restored district, which supported Kamala Harris by roughly five points in 2024 and carries a strong Democratic partisan baseline. This reversal from the earlier gerrymander attempt accounts for the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party, with limited independent polling available since the primaries. Scheduled resolution follows certification of the general election results.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMO-05 House Election Winner
MO-05 House Election Winner
$19,342 Vol.
$19,342 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
80%
Republican Party
20%
$19,342 Vol.
$19,342 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$6,446 Vol.
80%
Republican Party
$12,896 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent legal rulings have shifted the outlook for Missouri’s 5th congressional district. The Missouri Supreme Court blocked use of the mid-decade redrawn map for the November 3, 2026 general election, directing that contests proceed under the prior boundaries that favored Democrats. Longtime incumbent Emanuel Cleaver faces Republican nominee Rick Brattin in the restored district, which supported Kamala Harris by roughly five points in 2024 and carries a strong Democratic partisan baseline. This reversal from the earlier gerrymander attempt accounts for the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party, with limited independent polling available since the primaries. Scheduled resolution follows certification of the general election results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Volume
$19,342Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent legal rulings have shifted the outlook for Missouri’s 5th congressional district. The Missouri Supreme Court blocked use of the mid-decade redrawn map for the November 3, 2026 general election, directing that contests proceed under the prior boundaries that favored Democrats. Longtime incumbent Emanuel Cleaver faces Republican nominee Rick Brattin in the restored district, which supported Kamala Harris by roughly five points in 2024 and carries a strong Democratic partisan baseline. This reversal from the earlier gerrymander attempt accounts for the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party, with limited independent polling available since the primaries. Scheduled resolution follows certification of the general election results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,342Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent legal rulings have shifted the outlook for Missouri’s 5th congressional district. The Missouri Supreme Court blocked use of the mid-decade redrawn map for the November 3, 2026 general election, directing that contests proceed under the prior boundaries that favored Democrats. Longtime incumbent Emanuel Cleaver faces Republican nominee Rick Brattin in the restored district, which supported Kamala Harris by roughly five points in 2024 and carries a strong Democratic partisan baseline. This reversal from the earlier gerrymander attempt accounts for the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party, with limited independent polling available since the primaries. Scheduled resolution follows certification of the general election results.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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