Missouri's 5th congressional district race features incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver against Republican nominee Rick Brattin following August 4 primaries. Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic outcome primarily due to the Missouri Supreme Court's early September ruling that reinstated the prior district boundaries for the November 3 general election, reversing a mid-decade Republican-drawn map previously rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. The restored lines preserve a stronger Democratic tilt centered on Kansas City, aligning with Cleaver's consistent past performance in the district and limiting the impact of added rural Republican areas. With few new polls available and the map change occurring just weeks before Election Day, the implied probability reflects uncertainty around turnout and any lingering legal challenges to the boundaries.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMO-05 House Election Winner
MO-05 House Election Winner
$19,322 Vol.
$19,322 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
80%
Republican Party
19%
$19,322 Vol.
$19,322 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$6,446 Vol.
80%
Republican Party
$12,876 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 5th congressional district race features incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver against Republican nominee Rick Brattin following August 4 primaries. Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic outcome primarily due to the Missouri Supreme Court's early September ruling that reinstated the prior district boundaries for the November 3 general election, reversing a mid-decade Republican-drawn map previously rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. The restored lines preserve a stronger Democratic tilt centered on Kansas City, aligning with Cleaver's consistent past performance in the district and limiting the impact of added rural Republican areas. With few new polls available and the map change occurring just weeks before Election Day, the implied probability reflects uncertainty around turnout and any lingering legal challenges to the boundaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Volume
$19,322Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 5th congressional district race features incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver against Republican nominee Rick Brattin following August 4 primaries. Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic outcome primarily due to the Missouri Supreme Court's early September ruling that reinstated the prior district boundaries for the November 3 general election, reversing a mid-decade Republican-drawn map previously rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. The restored lines preserve a stronger Democratic tilt centered on Kansas City, aligning with Cleaver's consistent past performance in the district and limiting the impact of added rural Republican areas. With few new polls available and the map change occurring just weeks before Election Day, the implied probability reflects uncertainty around turnout and any lingering legal challenges to the boundaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,322Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 5th congressional district race features incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver against Republican nominee Rick Brattin following August 4 primaries. Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic outcome primarily due to the Missouri Supreme Court's early September ruling that reinstated the prior district boundaries for the November 3 general election, reversing a mid-decade Republican-drawn map previously rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. The restored lines preserve a stronger Democratic tilt centered on Kansas City, aligning with Cleaver's consistent past performance in the district and limiting the impact of added rural Republican areas. With few new polls available and the map change occurring just weeks before Election Day, the implied probability reflects uncertainty around turnout and any lingering legal challenges to the boundaries.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions