Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone secured his party's nomination in the June 2, 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against limited challengers, positioning the party for a strong general election showing against Republican Hillary Herzig. The district's voter registration edge, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and forecasters' "Solid D" or "Safe D" ratings underpin trader consensus on the outcome. Pallone's decades-long tenure and fundraising advantage further anchor the implied probability. A major personal development affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment, or significant shifts in local turnout patterns could alter the race, though structural factors make such changes unlikely before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNJ-06 Vencedor da eleição da casa
NJ-06 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$18,817 Vol.
$18,817 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
93%
Partido Republicano
2%
$18,817 Vol.
$18,817 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$7,263 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$11,554 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone secured his party's nomination in the June 2, 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against limited challengers, positioning the party for a strong general election showing against Republican Hillary Herzig. The district's voter registration edge, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and forecasters' "Solid D" or "Safe D" ratings underpin trader consensus on the outcome. Pallone's decades-long tenure and fundraising advantage further anchor the implied probability. A major personal development affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment, or significant shifts in local turnout patterns could alter the race, though structural factors make such changes unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$18,817Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone secured his party's nomination in the June 2, 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against limited challengers, positioning the party for a strong general election showing against Republican Hillary Herzig. The district's voter registration edge, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and forecasters' "Solid D" or "Safe D" ratings underpin trader consensus on the outcome. Pallone's decades-long tenure and fundraising advantage further anchor the implied probability. A major personal development affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment, or significant shifts in local turnout patterns could alter the race, though structural factors make such changes unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,817Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone secured his party's nomination in the June 2, 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against limited challengers, positioning the party for a strong general election showing against Republican Hillary Herzig. The district's voter registration edge, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and forecasters' "Solid D" or "Safe D" ratings underpin trader consensus on the outcome. Pallone's decades-long tenure and fundraising advantage further anchor the implied probability. A major personal development affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment, or significant shifts in local turnout patterns could alter the race, though structural factors make such changes unlikely before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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