The Democratic nominee holds a commanding lead in the NJ-06 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and repeated strong performances in recent presidential and congressional voting. Long-serving incumbent Frank Pallone secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising and name-recognition edge over Republican challenger Hillary Herzig. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current polling averages indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset before the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNJ-06 Vencedor da eleição da casa
NJ-06 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$18,817 Vol.
$18,817 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
91%
Partido Republicano
2%
$18,817 Vol.
$18,817 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$7,263 Vol.
91%
Partido Republicano
$11,554 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a commanding lead in the NJ-06 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and repeated strong performances in recent presidential and congressional voting. Long-serving incumbent Frank Pallone secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising and name-recognition edge over Republican challenger Hillary Herzig. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current polling averages indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$18,817Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a commanding lead in the NJ-06 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and repeated strong performances in recent presidential and congressional voting. Long-serving incumbent Frank Pallone secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising and name-recognition edge over Republican challenger Hillary Herzig. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current polling averages indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,817Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee holds a commanding lead in the NJ-06 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and repeated strong performances in recent presidential and congressional voting. Long-serving incumbent Frank Pallone secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising and name-recognition edge over Republican challenger Hillary Herzig. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current polling averages indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset before the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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