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Vencedor da eleição da Câmara dos Deputados do Peru

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Vencedor da eleição da Câmara dos Deputados do Peru

FP 99.4%

JP <1%

RP <1%

PL <1%

Polymarket

$138,494 Vol.

FP 99.4%

JP <1%

RP <1%

PL <1%

Polymarket

$138,494 Vol.

O Fuerza Popular (FP) vencerá e conquistará mais cadeiras na eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados do Peru em 2026? icon

FP

$59,629 Vol.

99%

O Juntos por el Perú (JP) ganhará mais cadeiras nas eleições para a Câmara dos Deputados do Peru em 2026? icon

JP

$21,619 Vol.

1%

O Renovación Popular (RP) vai ganhar mais cadeiras nas eleições para a Câmara dos Deputados peruana de 2026? icon

RP

$20,263 Vol.

<1%

O Perú Libre (PL) vencerá com o maior número de assentos nas eleições para a Câmara dos Deputados do Peru em 2026? icon

PL

$2,175 Vol.

<1%

A Alianza para o Progresso (APP) ganhará o maior número de assentos na eleição da Câmara dos Deputados do Peru em 2026? icon

APP

$11,088 Vol.

<1%

O Somos Perú (SP) ganhará mais cadeiras na eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados do Peru em 2026? icon

SP

$6,644 Vol.

<1%

O Podemos Perú (PP) vencerá com o maior número de assentos na eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados do Peru em 2026? icon

PP

$3,531 Vol.

<1%

A Acción Popular (AP) vai ganhar mais cadeiras nas eleições de 2026 para a Câmara dos Deputados do Peru? icon

AP

$10,048 Vol.

<1%

O Avanza País – Partido de Integração Social (AvP) ganhará o maior número de cadeiras na eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados do Peru em 2026? icon

AvP

$3,496 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Fuerza Popular (FP) commands 99.5% trader consensus as the projected winner of Peru's 130-seat Chamber of Deputies following the April 12-13 general election, restoring bicameral Congress under proportional representation across 27 circumscriptions. Partial ONPE results at 85% of actas counted show competitive national vote shares—RP leading at 18.6%, FP third at 14.3%—but exit polls from Datum and Ipsos project FP securing 40+ seats, the largest bloc, fueled by voter backlash against soaring crime (extortion up 1,000%) and corruption favoring its security-focused platform, reinforced by Keiko Fujimori's presidential first-round lead. Scenarios to upend this include dramatic shifts in the remaining 15% escrutinio, fraud claims by rivals like Renovación Popular prompting JNE recounts, or legal challenges delaying certification.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volume
$138,494
Data de Término
12 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Fuerza Popular (FP) commands 99.5% trader consensus as the projected winner of Peru's 130-seat Chamber of Deputies following the April 12-13 general election, restoring bicameral Congress under proportional representation across 27 circumscriptions. Partial ONPE results at 85% of actas counted show competitive national vote shares—RP leading at 18.6%, FP third at 14.3%—but exit polls from Datum and Ipsos project FP securing 40+ seats, the largest bloc, fueled by voter backlash against soaring crime (extortion up 1,000%) and corruption favoring its security-focused platform, reinforced by Keiko Fujimori's presidential first-round lead. Scenarios to upend this include dramatic shifts in the remaining 15% escrutinio, fraud claims by rivals like Renovación Popular prompting JNE recounts, or legal challenges delaying certification.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volume
$138,494
Data de Término
12 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição da Câmara dos Deputados do Peru" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "FP" at 99%, followed by "JP" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição da Câmara dos Deputados do Peru" has generated $138.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição da Câmara dos Deputados do Peru," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição da Câmara dos Deputados do Peru" is "FP" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "JP" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição da Câmara dos Deputados do Peru" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.