Skip to main content
icon for Eleição Senado Piauí: 2º Lugar
Política·Eleições Globais

Eleição Senado Piauí: 2º Lugar

icon for Eleição Senado Piauí: 2º Lugar
Política·Eleições Globais

Eleição Senado Piauí: 2º Lugar

Ciro Nogueira 19%

Missionário Evandro Craveiro 18%

Antônio Barros 18%

Alexandre Mariano 18%

Polymarket
NOVO

Ciro Nogueira 19%

Missionário Evandro Craveiro 18%

Antônio Barros 18%

Alexandre Mariano 18%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Ciro Nogueira

Ciro Nogueira

$72 Vol.

19%

icon for Missionário Evandro Craveiro

Missionário Evandro Craveiro

$72 Vol.

18%

icon for Antônio Barros

Antônio Barros

$72 Vol.

18%

icon for Alexandre Mariano

Alexandre Mariano

$72 Vol.

18%

icon for Julio Cesar

Julio Cesar

$72 Vol.

18%

icon for Pastor Sena

Pastor Sena

$72 Vol.

18%

icon for Maria Madalena Nunes

Maria Madalena Nunes

$72 Vol.

17%

icon for Toinho Dufrango

Toinho Dufrango

$72 Vol.

17%

icon for Danniel Rocha

Danniel Rocha

$72 Vol.

17%

icon for Dionisio Carvalho

Dionisio Carvalho

$72 Vol.

17%

icon for Francinaldo Leão

Francinaldo Leão

$72 Vol.

17%

icon for Irmão Evandro Marques

Irmão Evandro Marques

$72 Vol.

17%

icon for Jorge Lopes

Jorge Lopes

$72 Vol.

17%

icon for Major Paulo Roberto

Major Paulo Roberto

$72 Vol.

17%

icon for Jardenya Bezerra

Jardenya Bezerra

$72 Vol.

14%

icon for Cloves José

Cloves José

$72 Vol.

10%

icon for Antônio José Lira

Antônio José Lira

$72 Vol.

9%

icon for Tiago Junqueira

Tiago Junqueira

$72 Vol.

8%

icon for Marcelo Castro

Marcelo Castro

$72 Vol.

7%

icon for Pedro Laurentino

Pedro Laurentino

$72 Vol.

18%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Brazil's Piauí senatorial contest for two seats in the 2026 elections, multiple candidates remain closely bunched for second place as candidacy registrations closed on August 15. Incumbent Marcelo Castro (MDB) holds the clearest lead in available surveys, while Ciro Nogueira (PP), Júlio César (PSD), Tiago Junqueira (PL), and several others trail in the low-to-mid teens or single digits. The fragmented field, typical of Brazil's open-list proportional system, keeps second-place probabilities compressed, with trader consensus reflecting limited polling data, similar name recognition among challengers, and no decisive recent events or endorsements that have consolidated support behind one contender. Late-campaign shifts in alliances or turnout among key regional blocs could still alter the ordering before October voting.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,444
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Brazil's Piauí senatorial contest for two seats in the 2026 elections, multiple candidates remain closely bunched for second place as candidacy registrations closed on August 15. Incumbent Marcelo Castro (MDB) holds the clearest lead in available surveys, while Ciro Nogueira (PP), Júlio César (PSD), Tiago Junqueira (PL), and several others trail in the low-to-mid teens or single digits. The fragmented field, typical of Brazil's open-list proportional system, keeps second-place probabilities compressed, with trader consensus reflecting limited polling data, similar name recognition among challengers, and no decisive recent events or endorsements that have consolidated support behind one contender. Late-campaign shifts in alliances or turnout among key regional blocs could still alter the ordering before October voting.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,444
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Relacionado

icon for Will Dionisio Carvalho win the most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?

Will Dionisio Carvalho win the most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?

27%
icon for Rinaldo Júnior obterá o segundo maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado da Paraíba em 2026?

Rinaldo Júnior obterá o segundo maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado da Paraíba em 2026?

25%
Sim
icon for Marina Silva receberá o segundo maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado de São Paulo em 2026?

Marina Silva receberá o segundo maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado de São Paulo em 2026?

28%
Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição Senado Piauí: 2º Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ciro Nogueira" at 20%, followed by "Missionário Evandro Craveiro" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 20¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição Senado Piauí: 2º Lugar" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição Senado Piauí: 2º Lugar," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição Senado Piauí: 2º Lugar" is "Ciro Nogueira" at 20%, meaning the market assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Missionário Evandro Craveiro" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição Senado Piauí: 2º Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.