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icon for Eleição Senado Rondônia: 1º Lugar

Eleição Senado Rondônia: 1º Lugar

icon for Eleição Senado Rondônia: 1º Lugar

Eleição Senado Rondônia: 1º Lugar

Dr. Fernando Máximo 55%

Sílvia Cristina 19%

Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 15%

Acir Gurgacz 8%

Polymarket
NOVO

Dr. Fernando Máximo 55%

Sílvia Cristina 19%

Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 15%

Acir Gurgacz 8%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Dr. Fernando Máximo

Dr. Fernando Máximo

$735 Vol.

55%

icon for Sílvia Cristina

Sílvia Cristina

$171 Vol.

19%

icon for Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid

Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid

$179 Vol.

15%

icon for Acir Gurgacz

Acir Gurgacz

$179 Vol.

8%

icon for Luis Fernando

Luis Fernando

$155 Vol.

6%

icon for Mariana Carvalho

Mariana Carvalho

$155 Vol.

6%

icon for Engenheiro Thulio

Engenheiro Thulio

$209 Vol.

5%

icon for Neidinha

Neidinha

$205 Vol.

4%

icon for Luciana Oliveira

Luciana Oliveira

$202 Vol.

2%

icon for Aires Mota

Aires Mota

$186 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rondônia’s 2026 Senate race shows a fragmented field with Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) and Sílvia Cristina (UP/PP) trading narrow leads depending on the survey, while Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid, Acir Gurgacz, and Mariana Carvalho register lower single-digit support. Traders assign Máximo the highest probability for first place at 55 percent, reflecting his visibility in pre-campaign activity and results from July surveys by Real Time Big Data and others. The tight spread across many listed names stems from undecided voters, potential alliances ahead of the October election, and limited name recognition for several entrants. Upcoming polls, formal party conventions, and candidate positioning on state issues could shift shares before voting.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$2,377
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rondônia’s 2026 Senate race shows a fragmented field with Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) and Sílvia Cristina (UP/PP) trading narrow leads depending on the survey, while Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid, Acir Gurgacz, and Mariana Carvalho register lower single-digit support. Traders assign Máximo the highest probability for first place at 55 percent, reflecting his visibility in pre-campaign activity and results from July surveys by Real Time Big Data and others. The tight spread across many listed names stems from undecided voters, potential alliances ahead of the October election, and limited name recognition for several entrants. Upcoming polls, formal party conventions, and candidate positioning on state issues could shift shares before voting.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$2,377
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição Senado Rondônia: 1º Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dr. Fernando Máximo" at 55%, followed by "Sílvia Cristina" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição Senado Rondônia: 1º Lugar" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição Senado Rondônia: 1º Lugar," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição Senado Rondônia: 1º Lugar" is "Dr. Fernando Máximo" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sílvia Cristina" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição Senado Rondônia: 1º Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.