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Política·Expulsar

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick como representante dos EUA até 31 de maio?

Market icon
Política·Expulsar

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick como representante dos EUA até 31 de maio?

Sim

73% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

73% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.House Ethics Committee findings of 25 ethics violations against Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL), including alleged misuse of $5 million in FEMA disaster relief funds for campaign and personal expenses, have driven trader consensus to a 73% implied probability of her exiting Florida's 20th Congressional District seat by May 31. A full committee hearing on April 21 will determine penalties, potentially including expulsion, following a bipartisan subcommittee ruling on March 27. Speaker Mike Johnson predicted House expulsion on April 14 amid calls from fellow Democrats for resignation, though Cherfilus-McCormick maintains her innocence and rules out stepping down voluntarily. Her federal trial delay to February 2027 reduces immediate legal pressure, but historical precedent for severe ethics cases suggests a floor vote could follow swiftly, tipping market odds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,874
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.House Ethics Committee findings of 25 ethics violations against Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL), including alleged misuse of $5 million in FEMA disaster relief funds for campaign and personal expenses, have driven trader consensus to a 73% implied probability of her exiting Florida's 20th Congressional District seat by May 31. A full committee hearing on April 21 will determine penalties, potentially including expulsion, following a bipartisan subcommittee ruling on March 27. Speaker Mike Johnson predicted House expulsion on April 14 amid calls from fellow Democrats for resignation, though Cherfilus-McCormick maintains her innocence and rules out stepping down voluntarily. Her federal trial delay to February 2027 reduces immediate legal pressure, but historical precedent for severe ethics cases suggests a floor vote could follow swiftly, tipping market odds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,874
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick como representante dos EUA até 31 de maio?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick fora como deputada dos EUA até 31 de maio?" at 73%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick como representante dos EUA até 31 de maio?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick como representante dos EUA até 31 de maio?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick como representante dos EUA até 31 de maio?" is "Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick fora como deputada dos EUA até 31 de maio?" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick como representante dos EUA até 31 de maio?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.