Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Hakeem Jeffries 75%

Mike Johnson 25.9%

Steve Scalise 19.6%

Pete Aguilar 13.3%

NOVO

3 jan 2027

Hakeem Jeffries

$1,863 Vol.

75%

Katherine Clark

$94 Vol.

13%

Pete Aguilar

$78 Vol.

13%

Jim Jordan

$103 Vol.

Steve Scalise

$83 Vol.

20%

Mike Johnson

$88 Vol.

17%

Hakeem Jeffries 75%

Mike Johnson 25.9%

Steve Scalise 19.6%

Pete Aguilar 13.3%

NOVO

3 jan 2027

Hakeem Jeffries

$1,863 Vol.

75%

Katherine Clark

$94 Vol.

13%

Pete Aguilar

$78 Vol.

13%

Jim Jordan

$103 Vol.

Steve Scalise

$83 Vol.

20%

Mike Johnson

$88 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Relacionado

O Partido Democrata controlará a Câmara após as eleições de meio de mandato de 2026?

86%

Sim

O Partido Republicano terá menos de 190 cadeiras na Câmara após as eleições de meio de mandato de 2026?

22%

Sim

2026 Balança de Poder: Senado D, Câmara D

45%

Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Speaker of the House after the midterms?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Hakeem Jeffries" at 75%, followed by "Steve Scalise" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Speaker of the House after the midterms?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Speaker of the House after the midterms?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" is "Hakeem Jeffries" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Steve Scalise" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Speaker of the House after the midterms?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Speaker of the House after the midterms?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Speaker of the House after the midterms?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 75¢ for "Hakeem Jeffries" in the "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 75% chance that "Hakeem Jeffries" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 75¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 25¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jan 2, 2027. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Speaker of the House after the midterms?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Relacionado

Comentários (1)

Top Holders

Cargos

Actividade

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Speaker of the House after the midterms?"?

What are the current odds for "Speaker of the House after the midterms?"?

How will "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" be resolved?

Can I follow "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Speaker of the House after the midterms?"?

What does a price of 75¢ for "Hakeem Jeffries" mean?

When does the "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" market close?

What are traders saying about "Speaker of the House after the midterms?"?

What is Polymarket?