Thailand’s February 2026 general election produced certified results and a seated parliament led by the Bhumjaithai Party, with the Constitutional Court accepting an ombudsman petition in March over barcode and QR-code markings on ballots that could potentially compromise secrecy under Section 85 of the 2017 charter. The court directed only an initial Election Commission response and has shown no further procedural momentum toward hearings or annulment. Traders assign 97.8% probability to non-invalidation, reflecting the court’s pattern of targeted interventions against parties or officials rather than wholesale election nullification, the absence of scheduled deliberations months after acceptance, and the stability of the current legislative term. Late developments such as an expedited ruling altering ballot standards or linked referendum challenges remain the narrow variables that could still alter this assessment.