Alberta Premier Danielle Smith's explicit rejection of U.S. statehood in January 2026, coupled with her announcement of a separate October 19 referendum on immigration and constitutional reform rather than independence, underscores the absence of official support for secession or accession. Separatist groups like Stay Free Alberta claimed sufficient signatures for an independence referendum by late March, but a First Nations injunction—heard April 7—challenges treaty rights, stalling progress. An "Alberta is Canada" rally on April 26 drew crowds opposing separation, reflecting polls showing only 30% support for independence and even less appetite for U.S. integration amid constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act and U.S. congressional approval requirements. Traders price "No" at 95% due to these entrenched legal, political, and institutional hurdles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoWill Alberta join the US?
Will Alberta join the US?
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2026
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Alberta Premier Danielle Smith's explicit rejection of U.S. statehood in January 2026, coupled with her announcement of a separate October 19 referendum on immigration and constitutional reform rather than independence, underscores the absence of official support for secession or accession. Separatist groups like Stay Free Alberta claimed sufficient signatures for an independence referendum by late March, but a First Nations injunction—heard April 7—challenges treaty rights, stalling progress. An "Alberta is Canada" rally on April 26 drew crowds opposing separation, reflecting polls showing only 30% support for independence and even less appetite for U.S. integration amid constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act and U.S. congressional approval requirements. Traders price "No" at 95% due to these entrenched legal, political, and institutional hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Volume
$5,125Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Alberta Premier Danielle Smith's explicit rejection of U.S. statehood in January 2026, coupled with her announcement of a separate October 19 referendum on immigration and constitutional reform rather than independence, underscores the absence of official support for secession or accession. Separatist groups like Stay Free Alberta claimed sufficient signatures for an independence referendum by late March, but a First Nations injunction—heard April 7—challenges treaty rights, stalling progress. An "Alberta is Canada" rally on April 26 drew crowds opposing separation, reflecting polls showing only 30% support for independence and even less appetite for U.S. integration amid constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act and U.S. congressional approval requirements. Traders price "No" at 95% due to these entrenched legal, political, and institutional hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Volume
$5,125Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Alberta Premier Danielle Smith's explicit rejection of U.S. statehood in January 2026, coupled with her announcement of a separate October 19 referendum on immigration and constitutional reform rather than independence, underscores the absence of official support for secession or accession. Separatist groups like Stay Free Alberta claimed sufficient signatures for an independence referendum by late March, but a First Nations injunction—heard April 7—challenges treaty rights, stalling progress. An "Alberta is Canada" rally on April 26 drew crowds opposing separation, reflecting polls showing only 30% support for independence and even less appetite for U.S. integration amid constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act and U.S. congressional approval requirements. Traders price "No" at 95% due to these entrenched legal, political, and institutional hurdles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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