Tesla's September 2026 Cybercab launch in Austin prioritized limited paid robotaxi rides within its own fleet using roughly 45 registered vehicles, with no retail sales channel, announced sticker price, or individual customer deliveries confirmed despite production starting earlier in the year at Gigafactory Texas. The two-seater's steering-wheel-free design continues to face active NHTSA scrutiny over federal safety standards, while Tesla solicits fleet-operator interest rather than opening public orders. Musk has reiterated sub-$30,000 targets and end-of-2026 customer deliveries in prior statements, yet the company's near-term focus on scaling unsupervised autonomy for ride-hailing, slow initial production ramp, and historical timeline slippage support trader consensus that a qualifying retail sale remains unlikely before year-end. Key near-term catalysts include the agency's September 30 response and any shift toward consumer availability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoA Tesla venderá um Cybercab por 30 mil ou menos em 2026?
A Tesla venderá um Cybercab por 30 mil ou menos em 2026?
Sim
16% chance
$57,163 Vol.
$57,163 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
16% chance
$57,163 Vol.
$57,163 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla sells at least one Cybercab vehicle to a qualifying retail customer for a base purchase price of $30,000 USD or less by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
“Cybercab” refers to the specific autonomous vehicle unveiled by Tesla in October 2024 under the Cybercab name, or a clearly designated successor product marketed by Tesla as the same vehicle model.
A qualifying retail customer must be a member of the general public purchasing the vehicle in a bona fide retail transaction under publicly available terms. Sales to employees, executives, family members, subsidiaries, internal entities, or for promotional, testing, or internal fleet purposes will not qualify.
The base purchase price refers to the vehicle’s listed retail price before taxes, registration fees, delivery fees, financing costs, or third-party incentives. Official Tesla discounts or manufacturer incentives count toward the base price.
Preorders, deposits, announced pricing targets, prototype deliveries, or internal fleet deployments will not qualify unless a completed retail sale meeting the above criteria occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tesla's September 2026 Cybercab launch in Austin prioritized limited paid robotaxi rides within its own fleet using roughly 45 registered vehicles, with no retail sales channel, announced sticker price, or individual customer deliveries confirmed despite production starting earlier in the year at Gigafactory Texas. The two-seater's steering-wheel-free design continues to face active NHTSA scrutiny over federal safety standards, while Tesla solicits fleet-operator interest rather than opening public orders. Musk has reiterated sub-$30,000 targets and end-of-2026 customer deliveries in prior statements, yet the company's near-term focus on scaling unsupervised autonomy for ride-hailing, slow initial production ramp, and historical timeline slippage support trader consensus that a qualifying retail sale remains unlikely before year-end. Key near-term catalysts include the agency's September 30 response and any shift toward consumer availability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla sells at least one Cybercab vehicle to a qualifying retail customer for a base purchase price of $30,000 USD or less by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
“Cybercab” refers to the specific autonomous vehicle unveiled by Tesla in October 2024 under the Cybercab name, or a clearly designated successor product marketed by Tesla as the same vehicle model.
A qualifying retail customer must be a member of the general public purchasing the vehicle in a bona fide retail transaction under publicly available terms. Sales to employees, executives, family members, subsidiaries, internal entities, or for promotional, testing, or internal fleet purposes will not qualify.
The base purchase price refers to the vehicle’s listed retail price before taxes, registration fees, delivery fees, financing costs, or third-party incentives. Official Tesla discounts or manufacturer incentives count toward the base price.
Preorders, deposits, announced pricing targets, prototype deliveries, or internal fleet deployments will not qualify unless a completed retail sale meeting the above criteria occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
“Cybercab” refers to the specific autonomous vehicle unveiled by Tesla in October 2024 under the Cybercab name, or a clearly designated successor product marketed by Tesla as the same vehicle model.
A qualifying retail customer must be a member of the general public purchasing the vehicle in a bona fide retail transaction under publicly available terms. Sales to employees, executives, family members, subsidiaries, internal entities, or for promotional, testing, or internal fleet purposes will not qualify.
The base purchase price refers to the vehicle’s listed retail price before taxes, registration fees, delivery fees, financing costs, or third-party incentives. Official Tesla discounts or manufacturer incentives count toward the base price.
Preorders, deposits, announced pricing targets, prototype deliveries, or internal fleet deployments will not qualify unless a completed retail sale meeting the above criteria occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 17, 2026, 8:07 PM ET
Volume
$57,163Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Feb 17, 2026, 8:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070be91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla sells at least one Cybercab vehicle to a qualifying retail customer for a base purchase price of $30,000 USD or less by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
“Cybercab” refers to the specific autonomous vehicle unveiled by Tesla in October 2024 under the Cybercab name, or a clearly designated successor product marketed by Tesla as the same vehicle model.
A qualifying retail customer must be a member of the general public purchasing the vehicle in a bona fide retail transaction under publicly available terms. Sales to employees, executives, family members, subsidiaries, internal entities, or for promotional, testing, or internal fleet purposes will not qualify.
The base purchase price refers to the vehicle’s listed retail price before taxes, registration fees, delivery fees, financing costs, or third-party incentives. Official Tesla discounts or manufacturer incentives count toward the base price.
Preorders, deposits, announced pricing targets, prototype deliveries, or internal fleet deployments will not qualify unless a completed retail sale meeting the above criteria occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tesla's September 2026 Cybercab launch in Austin prioritized limited paid robotaxi rides within its own fleet using roughly 45 registered vehicles, with no retail sales channel, announced sticker price, or individual customer deliveries confirmed despite production starting earlier in the year at Gigafactory Texas. The two-seater's steering-wheel-free design continues to face active NHTSA scrutiny over federal safety standards, while Tesla solicits fleet-operator interest rather than opening public orders. Musk has reiterated sub-$30,000 targets and end-of-2026 customer deliveries in prior statements, yet the company's near-term focus on scaling unsupervised autonomy for ride-hailing, slow initial production ramp, and historical timeline slippage support trader consensus that a qualifying retail sale remains unlikely before year-end. Key near-term catalysts include the agency's September 30 response and any shift toward consumer availability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla sells at least one Cybercab vehicle to a qualifying retail customer for a base purchase price of $30,000 USD or less by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
“Cybercab” refers to the specific autonomous vehicle unveiled by Tesla in October 2024 under the Cybercab name, or a clearly designated successor product marketed by Tesla as the same vehicle model.
A qualifying retail customer must be a member of the general public purchasing the vehicle in a bona fide retail transaction under publicly available terms. Sales to employees, executives, family members, subsidiaries, internal entities, or for promotional, testing, or internal fleet purposes will not qualify.
The base purchase price refers to the vehicle’s listed retail price before taxes, registration fees, delivery fees, financing costs, or third-party incentives. Official Tesla discounts or manufacturer incentives count toward the base price.
Preorders, deposits, announced pricing targets, prototype deliveries, or internal fleet deployments will not qualify unless a completed retail sale meeting the above criteria occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
“Cybercab” refers to the specific autonomous vehicle unveiled by Tesla in October 2024 under the Cybercab name, or a clearly designated successor product marketed by Tesla as the same vehicle model.
A qualifying retail customer must be a member of the general public purchasing the vehicle in a bona fide retail transaction under publicly available terms. Sales to employees, executives, family members, subsidiaries, internal entities, or for promotional, testing, or internal fleet purposes will not qualify.
The base purchase price refers to the vehicle’s listed retail price before taxes, registration fees, delivery fees, financing costs, or third-party incentives. Official Tesla discounts or manufacturer incentives count toward the base price.
Preorders, deposits, announced pricing targets, prototype deliveries, or internal fleet deployments will not qualify unless a completed retail sale meeting the above criteria occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Feb 17, 2026, 8:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070be91...Tesla's September 2026 Cybercab launch in Austin prioritized limited paid robotaxi rides within its own fleet using roughly 45 registered vehicles, with no retail sales channel, announced sticker price, or individual customer deliveries confirmed despite production starting earlier in the year at Gigafactory Texas. The two-seater's steering-wheel-free design continues to face active NHTSA scrutiny over federal safety standards, while Tesla solicits fleet-operator interest rather than opening public orders. Musk has reiterated sub-$30,000 targets and end-of-2026 customer deliveries in prior statements, yet the company's near-term focus on scaling unsupervised autonomy for ride-hailing, slow initial production ramp, and historical timeline slippage support trader consensus that a qualifying retail sale remains unlikely before year-end. Key near-term catalysts include the agency's September 30 response and any shift toward consumer availability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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