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icon for A Paramount fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros. até o final de 2026?
Tecnologia·Big Tech

A Paramount fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros. até o final de 2026?

icon for A Paramount fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros. até o final de 2026?
Tecnologia·Big Tech

A Paramount fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros. até o final de 2026?

Sim

23% chance
Polymarket

$151,653 Vol.

Sim

23% chance
Polymarket

$151,653 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.The 75.6% market-implied probability that Paramount Skydance will not close its $111 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery by year-end 2026 stems primarily from a July 2026 antitrust lawsuit filed by attorneys general from 12 states. A federal judge issued an injunction pausing the deal through at least a March 2027 trial, shifting any potential closing to mid-2027 or later despite earlier DOJ and UK CMA approvals plus WBD shareholder consent in April. Paramount has added a quarterly ticking fee beyond December 31, 2026, signaling confidence in eventual regulatory clearance but underscoring the timeline uncertainty created by the state-level challenge over reduced competition in studios, streaming, and news networks. This legal overhang outweighs the deal’s prior momentum and historical media merger precedents.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Volume
$151,653
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.The 75.6% market-implied probability that Paramount Skydance will not close its $111 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery by year-end 2026 stems primarily from a July 2026 antitrust lawsuit filed by attorneys general from 12 states. A federal judge issued an injunction pausing the deal through at least a March 2027 trial, shifting any potential closing to mid-2027 or later despite earlier DOJ and UK CMA approvals plus WBD shareholder consent in April. Paramount has added a quarterly ticking fee beyond December 31, 2026, signaling confidence in eventual regulatory clearance but underscoring the timeline uncertainty created by the state-level challenge over reduced competition in studios, streaming, and news networks. This legal overhang outweighs the deal’s prior momentum and historical media merger precedents.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Volume
$151,653
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"A Paramount fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros. até o final de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A Paramount vai concluir a aquisição da Warner Bros. até o final de 2026?" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "A Paramount fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros. até o final de 2026?" has generated $151.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "A Paramount fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros. até o final de 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "A Paramount fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros. até o final de 2026?" is "A Paramount vai concluir a aquisição da Warner Bros. até o final de 2026?" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "A Paramount fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros. até o final de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.