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Trump visitará o Paquistão até 31 de maio?

Market icon

Trump visitará o Paquistão até 31 de maio?

Sim

28% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

28% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan by May 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's recent statements hinting at a potential trip to Islamabad for signing a US-Iran peace deal—made amid Pakistan's role as key mediator in ongoing talks—have sparked speculation, yet traders assign only 27% implied probability to a visit by May 31. No White House schedule confirms such travel, with Vice President JD Vance having led prior rounds in Pakistan, and reports suggest competing priorities like a possible China summit in May. The conditional nature of Trump's remarks, tying the visit to deal finalization, combined with no firm diplomatic announcements in the past week, drives the 73% "No" consensus reflecting skepticism over rapid escalation to a presidential summit.

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan by May 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$6,629
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan by May 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan by May 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's recent statements hinting at a potential trip to Islamabad for signing a US-Iran peace deal—made amid Pakistan's role as key mediator in ongoing talks—have sparked speculation, yet traders assign only 27% implied probability to a visit by May 31. No White House schedule confirms such travel, with Vice President JD Vance having led prior rounds in Pakistan, and reports suggest competing priorities like a possible China summit in May. The conditional nature of Trump's remarks, tying the visit to deal finalization, combined with no firm diplomatic announcements in the past week, drives the 73% "No" consensus reflecting skepticism over rapid escalation to a presidential summit.

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan by May 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$6,687
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan by May 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump visitará o Paquistão até 31 de maio?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Trump visitará o Paquistão até 31 de maio?" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Trump visitará o Paquistão até 31 de maio?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Trump visitará o Paquistão até 31 de maio?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump visitará o Paquistão até 31 de maio?" is "Trump visitará o Paquistão até 31 de maio?" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump visitará o Paquistão até 31 de maio?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.