**Narendra Modi’s position as prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, reflected in the 90.8% “No” odds.** His BJP-led National Democratic Alliance holds a working majority in the Lok Sabha following the 2024 elections and has maintained coalition support from key partners such as the Telugu Desam Party and Janata Dal (United). Recent state-level victories for the BJP, combined with reported economic growth around 7.7% for 2025-26, have reinforced the government’s stability ahead of the next general election due by mid-2029. No successful no-confidence motion or major ally defections have materialized, and opposition statements predicting an earlier exit lack supporting parliamentary or electoral evidence. The absence of acute crises that could fracture the coalition or force resignation keeps the consensus probability high for Modi completing the period in office.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoModi será lançado até 31 de dezembro de 2026?
Sim
$110,265 Vol.
$110,265 Vol.
Sim
$110,265 Vol.
$110,265 Vol.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Narendra Modi’s position as prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, reflected in the 90.8% “No” odds.** His BJP-led National Democratic Alliance holds a working majority in the Lok Sabha following the 2024 elections and has maintained coalition support from key partners such as the Telugu Desam Party and Janata Dal (United). Recent state-level victories for the BJP, combined with reported economic growth around 7.7% for 2025-26, have reinforced the government’s stability ahead of the next general election due by mid-2029. No successful no-confidence motion or major ally defections have materialized, and opposition statements predicting an earlier exit lack supporting parliamentary or electoral evidence. The absence of acute crises that could fracture the coalition or force resignation keeps the consensus probability high for Modi completing the period in office.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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