Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance in federal contests, including consistent double-digit margins for GOP Senate candidates and no Democratic victory since 1970, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Republican win in this open-seat race. Multiple forecasters classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the state's partisan composition, the strength of the GOP primary field ahead of the August 18 vote, and limited Democratic infrastructure. An open seat creates some uncertainty around the eventual nominee, yet historical patterns and current polling trends show little prospect for a general-election upset. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the Republican nominee or an abrupt national political realignment would be required to meaningfully narrow the gap.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$15,550 Vol.
$15,550 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
95%
Democrata
2%
$15,550 Vol.
$15,550 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$9,918 Vol.
95%
Democrata
$5,632 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance in federal contests, including consistent double-digit margins for GOP Senate candidates and no Democratic victory since 1970, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Republican win in this open-seat race. Multiple forecasters classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the state's partisan composition, the strength of the GOP primary field ahead of the August 18 vote, and limited Democratic infrastructure. An open seat creates some uncertainty around the eventual nominee, yet historical patterns and current polling trends show little prospect for a general-election upset. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the Republican nominee or an abrupt national political realignment would be required to meaningfully narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$15,550Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance in federal contests, including consistent double-digit margins for GOP Senate candidates and no Democratic victory since 1970, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Republican win in this open-seat race. Multiple forecasters classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the state's partisan composition, the strength of the GOP primary field ahead of the August 18 vote, and limited Democratic infrastructure. An open seat creates some uncertainty around the eventual nominee, yet historical patterns and current polling trends show little prospect for a general-election upset. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the Republican nominee or an abrupt national political realignment would be required to meaningfully narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$15,550Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance in federal contests, including consistent double-digit margins for GOP Senate candidates and no Democratic victory since 1970, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Republican win in this open-seat race. Multiple forecasters classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the state's partisan composition, the strength of the GOP primary field ahead of the August 18 vote, and limited Democratic infrastructure. An open seat creates some uncertainty around the eventual nominee, yet historical patterns and current polling trends show little prospect for a general-election upset. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the Republican nominee or an abrupt national political realignment would be required to meaningfully narrow the gap.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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