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icon for Vencedor da eleição para o Senado da Virgínia Ocidental

Vencedor da eleição para o Senado da Virgínia Ocidental

icon for Vencedor da eleição para o Senado da Virgínia Ocidental

Vencedor da eleição para o Senado da Virgínia Ocidental

Polymarket

$15,886 Vol.

Polymarket

$15,886 Vol.

icon for Shelley Moore Capito (R)

Shelley Moore Capito (R)

$10,813 Vol.

97%

icon for Rachel Fetty Anderson (D)

Rachel Fetty Anderson (D)

$5,073 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito holds a commanding position in the 2026 West Virginia Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance in federal contests and her established record as a two-term senator seeking a third. She secured her party's nomination in the May primary with 66.5% against challengers from the right, while Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson, a former Morgantown city council member, advanced with just 33.2% in a crowded field. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Republican, reflecting historical margins exceeding 40 points and limited Democratic infrastructure. The general election on November 3 features additional minor-party candidates, but trader consensus at 96.9% for Capito aligns with these structural advantages. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment could still alter the outcome before ballots close.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$15,886
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito holds a commanding position in the 2026 West Virginia Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance in federal contests and her established record as a two-term senator seeking a third. She secured her party's nomination in the May primary with 66.5% against challengers from the right, while Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson, a former Morgantown city council member, advanced with just 33.2% in a crowded field. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Republican, reflecting historical margins exceeding 40 points and limited Democratic infrastructure. The general election on November 3 features additional minor-party candidates, but trader consensus at 96.9% for Capito aligns with these structural advantages. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment could still alter the outcome before ballots close.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$15,886
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para o Senado da Virgínia Ocidental" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Shelley Moore Capito (R)" at 97%, followed by "Rachel Fetty Anderson (D)" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para o Senado da Virgínia Ocidental" has generated $15.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para o Senado da Virgínia Ocidental," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para o Senado da Virgínia Ocidental" is "Shelley Moore Capito (R)" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rachel Fetty Anderson (D)" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para o Senado da Virgínia Ocidental" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.